Lynchburg, Virginia 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

067
FXUS61 KRNK 120806
AFDRNK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
406 AM EDT Sat Sep 12 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Adjusted the timing of widespread showers and widely scattered
thunderstorms today to occur toward late afternoon, with only
modest coverage of rainfall taking place earlier in the day.

Aviation updated.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Widespread showers and widely scattered thunderstorms will
develop today, with drying conditions returning for the early
half of the coming week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1: Widespread showers and widely scattered
thunderstorms will develop today, with drying conditions
returning for the early half of the coming week.

Starting the day with a stationary front draped east to west
near the Virginia/North Carolina state border. Muggy conditions
are in place areawide, with occasional showers developing and
fading again per radar imagery since 1 am.

For today, coverage of rainfall will remain isolated to widely
scattered through mid-afternoon, with coverage then increasing
as the front lifts northward across the lower Mid-Atlantic.
Believe that, while shower activity will become widespread
during the late afternoon and evening, only moderate available
energy will limit the coverage of thunderstorms to widely
scattered activity, though the greater coverage will occur
across the Piedmont where temperatures will warm into the mid
80s. Any thunderstorms will be capable of producing heavy
downpours that could result in localized flash flooding issues,
and one or two storms may intensify briefly to also become
capable of producing damaging wind gusts. The front will shift
northward out of the area shortly after sunset, with rainfall
then gradually tapering during early tonight.

Isolated showers and thunderstorms may develop Sunday afternoon
as another cold front approaches, but limited energy will keep
this activity weak. With the front passing across the lower
Mid-Atlantic on Sunday night, drier and cooler air will arrive
for the beginning of the coming workweek, perhaps lasting
through Wednesday as a large upper ridge develops along the
Appalachian Chain. By Thursday, afternoon showers and
thunderstorms will gradually return as another cold front
approaches from the northwest, which may stall across the
region during next weekend.


&&

.AVIATION /07Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...

Starting the morning off with widespread IFR and low MVFR
ceilings across the lower Mid-Atlantic, with a few pockets of
fog and drizzle reducing visibilities locally to 1SM or less.
These conditions will persist through the remainder of the
night, and then will gradually improve through the morning, with
a mix of VFR and MVFR ceilings during the afternoon.

Coverage of showers and thunderstorms will be limited through
about 20Z, and will then increase during late afternoon and the
evening. Believe that, while shower activity will become
widespread, limited energy in the atmosphere will maintain only
widely scattered coverage of thunderstorms. Greatest coverage
of storms will occur across the Piedmont. After sunset, coverage
of showers and thunderstorms will diminish gradually heading
into the overnight, with MVFR/IFR ceilings then redeveloping
areawide.


EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...

A few showers/isolated storms will be possible Sunday as
another cold front moves through. Behind this front, expect a
few days of drier conditions and widespread VFR weather.

&&

.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...None.
NC...None.
WV...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...NF
AVIATION...AS/NF