Lynchburg, Virginia 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

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FXUS61 KRNK 060624
AFDRNK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
224 AM EDT Sat Jun 6 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Forecast updated per recent guidance.

Air Quality Alert for Stokes, Rockingham and Caswell Counties in
North Carolina until midnight EDT Saturday night.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
KEY MESSAGE 1: Isolated severe storms possible Sunday in parts of
the far east otherwise daytime showers and storms for much of next
week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

KEY MESSAGE 1: Isolated severe storms possible Sunday in parts of
the far east otherwise daytime showers and storms for much of next
week.

Expect a dry and warm start to the weekend, then guidance is in some
consensus with a weak front sagging southward into the far north and
east part of the CWA for Sunday. Given the progged instability axis
and rather marginal deep layer shear of 20-25 kts, a few isolated
strong to severe storms could occur in the far east with strong to
damaging winds as the main threat.

Otherwise more ample deep layer moisture and a weak upper
disturbance slowly builds into the area for next week allowing for
diurnally induced convection, though a ridge of high pressure to the
east may limit development on Monday to just parts of the west.

After midweek, while in the wake of the upper disturbance the
lingering airmass remains rather moist and conditionally unstable so
continue pops of daily showers and storms. Temps look to become
higher in this time period as well with parts of the Piedmont
possibly reaching highs in the mid to upper 90s.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
VFR conditions look to prevail across all terminals through the TAF
period. The one exception may be some brief sub-VFR VSBYs with the
river valleys of KLWB early Saturday morning. With more clear skies
than initially forecast, the likelihood of these sub-VFR VSBYs
developing has increased at KLWB. Some upper level cirrus looks to
push into the region early Saturday, but these clouds don`t look to
move into the area in time to prevent some river valley fog from
developing.

Winds will generally remain out of the west/southwest at around 10
knots or less through the TAF period.

EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...

VFR conditions will persist through much of the extended TAF period,
outside any shower/storms that occur. Higher probability for sub-VFR
look to develop Sunday night into Monday as high pressure wedges in
with easterly flow bringing lower cig potential for most sites.

&&

.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...None.
NC...Air Quality Alert until midnight EDT tonight for NCZ004>006.
WV...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...AB
AVIATION...EB