Lynchburg, Virginia 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

033
FXUS61 KRNK 201847
AFDRNK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
247 PM EDT Sat Jun 20 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Aviation update. No major changes to the forecast into next
week.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Tranquil weather is forecasted to persist through Sunday
evening.

2) Scattered showers and thunderstorms are forecasted for
Monday, some of which may produce damaging wind gusts and
localized flash flooding. This will be followed by widely
scattered afternoon & evening storms through the remainder of
the week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1: Tranquil weather this weekend.

The remainder of this week is forecast to remain mainly dry,
though a modest chance remains of a few brief showers
passing north of Interstate 64 (west of Lexington) late this
evening as a weak disturbance passes to the north. Dry
conditions will continue through Sunday as well.

Afternoon temperatures for Sunday will be anywhere from 3 to 6
degrees above normal for the 2nd half of June, with highs
reaching into the upper 80s to low 90s across the Piedmont.
Those spending extended periods of time outdoors will want to
have cool non-alcoholic fluids to drink, and take occasional
breaks in the shade.

The summer solstice will occur tonight, June 21 at 424 AM EDT.


KEY MESSAGE 2: Scattered showers and thunderstorms are
forecasted for Monday, some of which may produce damaging wind
gusts and localized flash flooding. This will be followed by
widely scattered afternoon & evening storms through the
remainder of the week.

Will be keeping an eye on a strong upper level disturbance
passing east along the Ohio River Valley on Monday. With cool
high pressure pushing off the Atlantic coast, we can expect a
return of deep moisture in advance of the approaching
disturbance such that precipitable water values will rise into
the 1.6 to 1.8 inch range by Monday afternoon. Given another day
of strong heating to add fuel to any thunderstorm activity, the
potential exists for any storms that develop to become capable
of producing damaging wind gusts and heavy downpours that could
result in localized flash flooding, especially where storms are
slow-moving and/or pass repeatedly over the same locations.
Believe that coverage of thunderstorms will be widely scattered
and will occur mainly during the afternoon and evening.
Confidence is low as to where any severe weather may occur, with
anywhere in the lower Mid-Atlantic susceptible to this
activity.

Afterwards, a quasi-zonal upper level flow pattern will be in
place across the country. A lingering frontal boundary draped
across the Mid-South to the central Plains, coupled with some
shortwave energy aloft, will fuel the development of multiple
thunderstorm complexes buy most of this falls south of our area.
Still at times, we will see widely scattered afternoon/evening
showers/storms.

Temps through the period will be close to late June standards.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
VFR conditions are forecasted to persist through the TAF period
for most, with the potential for patchy fog to develop for LWB.
Winds will remain out of the west/northwest for most through
today with gusts in the 15kt to 20kt range. Gusts will subside
by 00Z, with light winds expected overnight.


EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...

Mainly VFR conditions are expected into late Sunday. Shower and
storm chances increase on Monday, with associated sub-VFR
conditions probable as this activity passes over airports. Still
some scattered storm activity Tuesday and Wednesday but mainly
VFR outside any storms.

Other sub-VFR possibilities may be some late night/early morning
mountain valley/river fog Sunday morning and again middle of
next week.

&&

.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...None.
NC...None.
WV...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...NF/PM
AVIATION...NF/WP