Lynchburg, Virginia 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

349
FXUS61 KRNK 192344
AFDRNK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
744 PM EDT Sat Sep 19 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Aviation updated.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Unsettled weather expected Sunday through Wednesday as a
front remains stalled over the region...temperatures trending
cooler by Wednesday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1: Unsettled weather expected Sunday through Wednesday
as a front remains stalled over the region...temperatures
trending cooler by Wednesday.

Stalled front to our south will return as a warm front Sunday,
only to clash with another southward moving upper level trough
Monday and Tuesday. A wholesale uptick in rain chances are
expected for both Monday and Tuesday. 48 hour probabilistic
ensemble guidance indicates 80 percent chance for 0.50, 50%
chance of 1.00 and 25% chance of 1.50 or more. This is good
news since we are in need of the rain.

By Wednesday the upper trough digs in from the northwest while
the front shifts southeast. Cooler air from the north with high
pressure wedge will have our highs Wednesday running 10 to 15
degrees below normal, followed by a gradual return to near
normal temperatures by the weekend.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Mainly VFR across the area this evening, outside of MVFR
ceilings and vsbys within a line of heavy rain and storms
stretching from southwest VA into northwest NC. This activity
should continue moving southeasterly, weakening with time, and
should diminish before 05Z Sunday.

with plenty of moisture in the region and getting trapped
underneath a subsidence inversion overnight, ceilings will once
again lower into the MVFR or lower range through Sunday
morning, with some patchy fog reducing visibilities between 3 to
5SM in the river and mountain valleys. KLWB looks to see the
lowest vsbys, with less than 1SM at times. Ceilings will lift
and fog will dissipate soon after sunrise, between 12 and 14Z.

Scattered showers and thunderstorms will develop by Sunday
early to mid afternoon in the west, and reaching the Piedmont by
late afternoon to early evening.


EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...

Shower/storm chances increase Monday and Tuesday with numerous
to widespread coverage. During this time expect periods of sub-
VFR conditions and potential heavy rain. Fog at night can also
be expected, especially in the mountain valleys.

&&

.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...None.
NC...None.
WV...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...AS/PM
AVIATION...AS/PM