Lynchburg, Virginia 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

118
FXUS61 KRNK 281804
AFDRNK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
204 PM EDT Thu May 28 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Aviation Update.



&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
KEY MESSAGE 1: Benign and drier weather for the foreseeable
future.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1: Benign and drier weather for the foreseeable
future.

The weather will be rather underwhelming for the next several days
but will offer a break in the repetitive rain pattern. A cold front
is continuing its passage today with higher pressure to follow. This
will be a repeating theme for the rest of the week and going into
next week.

The surface high following today`s cold front will bring in
relatively drier air. The center of the high will be over the Great
Lakes but will diminish in strength as surface low moves to its east
southward from Canada through New England. A mid-level omega block
pattern continues to hold though its orientation is a bit wonky. The
ridge orientation is northwesterly between the northern Great Plains
and Florida, placing the western low component over California
and the eastern low counterpart just northeast of Maine. This
setup will direct shortwaves and cooler and drier air from
Canada as far south as the Mid Atlantic. One of these shortwaves
moves southeastward by the weekend, sending another cold front
through Virginia. By early next week, the omega block pattern
will have morphed and the ridge axis will have taken a more
meridional orientation between the Canadian Plans and
Texas/Louisiana. The eastern low amplifies and moves
southwestward as a result, with its center over New England. The
western low moves further east and both lows "squeeze" out the
ridge late next week to eventually break down the pattern. By
the end of next week, the eastern low will begin to propagate
freely into the Atlantic Ocean.

The summary of the mid-level pattern for the next few days are
important as it explains the repetitive weather pattern at the
surface. With the northwesterly winds from the ridge/eastern low
alignment, there will be at least three waves of cold fronts
followed by surface high pressure systems that will come into the
region for the next seven days. Each front will keep temperatures
from increasing and keep air conditions dry. High temperatures will
likely be in the upper 60s to lower 80s and dew points will get as
low as the 40s and 50s. PWATs as low as 0.33" and the influence of
the surface highs will keep precipitation chances trivial for quite
some time.



&&

.AVIATION /18Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...

Most cloud cover has dissipated as more dry air fills in to the area
today. A few scattered tufts may remain through the afternoon and
evening. No rain is expected over the next 24 hours either. Winds
will be light and mostly out of the north, sometimes northwest.
Other than some potential for brief fog at LWB, VFR conditions
should dominate during this TAF valid period.

Confidence in the above forecast is high.

EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...

Widespread VFR conditions are expected into this weekend, as
high pressure brings a few days of quiet weather, though fog
remains possible during the overnight hours. A front starts to
approach the area from the west early in the work week, which
will also bring more chances for scattered precipitation and
possible sub-VFR conditions.

&&

.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...None.
NC...None.
WV...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...CG
AVIATION...VFJ/RCS