Lynchburg, Virginia 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

265
FXUS61 KRNK 082310
AFDRNK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
610 PM EST Sun Nov 8 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
00Z aviation update.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Dry and mild weather through midweek, next system to arrive
on Thursday followed by coldest air of the season this weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1: Dry and mild weather through midweek, next
system to arrive on Thursday followed by coldest air of the
season this weekend.

High pressure will continue to dominate the synoptic weather
pattern for the next several days, keeping dry and mild weather
in place for the Mid-Atlantic. As the high shifts east into the
Atlantic for the early part of the week, high temperatures will
rise to around 10-15 degrees above normal for this time of year,
in the 60s to low 70s for Tuesday and Wednesday.

The next chance of precipitation will arrive on Thursday, as a
longwave upper-level trough and a surface low pressure system
develops across the Mississippi Valley midweek and track
northeast into the Ohio River Valley on Thursday. Models have
remained fairly consistent with the strength of the trough,
encompassing most of the Eastern CONUS Friday into next weekend.
The system will bring a chance of rainfall to the area, but
amounts are trending lighter for our region.

Once the front moves through late Thursday, a much colder
airmass will arrive for Friday and into Saturday. Wraparound
moisture will likely give the western slopes their first upslope
snow event of the season given a strong northwest flow moisture
fetch. Too early to discuss snowfall amounts, but an
accumulating snow is becoming more of a possibility in the
highest elevations of far southwest VA and southeast WV.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
VFR conditions are expected through early Monday afternoon.

Relatively light winds this evening will start increasing
overnight, peaking around sunrise Monday morning with the
passage of an upper level trough and dry surface cold front.
Westerly winds will increase with gusts reaching 20 to 30 kts
across the mountains after around 05Z/12AM EST. There may be a
brief time window of an hour or two between the increase of the
jet aloft and the translation of gusts to the surface, where
pockets of low level wind shear may exist. Surface winds will
remain gusty through Monday.

EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK... Primarily VFR conditions are
expected through Wednesday across the region.

Thursday into Friday a deepening upper low over the Great Lakes
region will spiral a series of shortwave troughs through the
Ohio Valley and mid-Atlantic Region. The result will be a return
of better coverage of precipitation for the area, along with
much colder temperatures. The highest probability of
precipitation and sub-VFR conditions will generally west of a
KTNB-KBCB-KHSP line.

&&

.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...None.
NC...None.
WV...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...BMG
AVIATION...DS/RCS