Lynchburg, Virginia 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

003
FXUS61 KRNK 070639
AFDRNK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
139 AM EST Wed Jan 7 2026

.SYNOPSIS...
Temperatures will be well above normal through the week, with
the next chance of widespread rain late in the week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 110 AM EST Wednesday...

Key Message:

1) Above normal temperatures.

There will be just enough lift/moisture for a few showers to
reach southeast WV this morning but in general, fairly dry
weather through this period. A pressure gradient increases
behind the front, so anticipate a few gusts in the 20s mph range
today.

Despite the front, temperatures will remain well above normal
with highs in the 50s in the mountains and 60s east.

High pressure builds overhead this evening with surface winds
becoming light/calm. With clear skies temperatures will drop to
cooler readings compared to this morning but still above normal
in the 30s.


&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
As of 135 AM EST Wednesday...

Key Messages:

1) Temperatures will remain well above normal to end this week.

2) Rain becomes increasingly likely during Friday and Saturday.

An upper level ridge will reside over the eastern United States
throughout the latter half of this week, which should boost
temperatures well above normal for this time of year. As high
pressure departs offshore on Thursday, the resulting southeast flow
may bring weak moisture convergence along the southern Blue Ridge to
spark a slight chance of rain by Thursday night. Meanwhile, a low
pressure system will approach from the west to bring increasing
clouds with more substantial chances of rain arriving by Friday
afternoon and persisting through Friday night and Saturday. The flow
should turn towards the southwest to prolong the warm air advection,
which could put temperatures near record territory as mentioned
below in the climate section.

Rainfall amounts could reach over an inch west of the Blue Ridge
between late Friday through Saturday, while lower amounts are
expected to the east. Due to drought conditions still in place
across most of the Appalachian Mountains with rainfall deficits near
two inches since the beginning of December, this moisture appears to
be quite beneficial. Some of the rain may reach moderate intensity
for brief periods, but the lack of convection suggests that rainfall
rates will not present any issues. As the flow turns back towards
the northwest after the frontal passage by early Saturday night,
colder air will send temperatures downward and change any lingering
rain showers to snow showers west of the Blue Ridge.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 135 AM EST Wednesday...

Key Messages:

1) Gusty northwest winds will bring colder air and mountain snow
showers on Sunday.

2) Dry weather should return by Sunday night and persist through
Monday and Tuesday.

Cold air advection will occur during Sunday due to northwest winds
behind a departing cold front. Gusts up to 45 mph seem possible
along the higher elevations, especially across the southern Blue
Ridge. Mountain snow showers should linger through Sunday and
eventually taper during Sunday night as the gusts gradually subside.
Because the area of high pressure arriving by Sunday night
originates from the Pacific Ocean instead of Canada, temperatures
will only drop back to near normal values for January with lows in
the 20s by Monday morning. Dry conditions should prevail through
Monday and Tuesday with high pressure in control.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 1211 AM EST Wednesday...

MVFR CIGs will occur at BLF/LWB. Cannot rule out a shower at
LWB. DAN could have some MVFR/IFR fog through 10z.

West winds will stay gusty at times at BLF/LWB but stay under
10kts elsewhere until after 13z when mixing increases. Westerly/northwesterly
winds will then gust 20-30kts through most of the day
diminishing around sunset 22z. Look for BLF/LWB to become VFR
in the 15-17z time frame.


Extended Aviation Discussion:

VFR conditions through Thursday, then increasing low level
moisture ahead of the next system may bring sub-VFR cigs to the
area by late Thu night into Friday. Best rain chances and sub-
VFR for the area will be Friday afternoon into Saturday. Sub-VFR
lingers into Sunday in the mountains when west-northwest winds
become strong/gusty, with snow showers possible at BLF/LWB.

&&

.CLIMATE...
As of 115 AM EST Wednesday...


There is the potential for several climate sites to
tie or break records Friday and Saturday. These include:

Friday 01/09 High Temperatures:

Site  Forecast RecordRecord Year
Danville    70712008


Saturday 01/10 High Minimum Temperatures (warm lows):

The forecast below will be the coldest temperature
reached by midnight Sat night.

Site   ForecastRecordRecord Year
Bluefield47521950
Roanoke55511949
Lynchburg56501949
Danville   56          59      2008
Blacksburg  50          48      1916

&&

.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...None.
NC...None.
WV...None.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...WP
NEAR TERM...WP
SHORT TERM...PW
LONG TERM...PW
AVIATION...EB/WP
CLIMATE...SH/WP