Lynchburg, Virginia 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

761
FXUS61 KRNK 280214
AFDRNK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
1014 PM EDT Fri Mar 27 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Rain has largely ended this evening, and winds will begin
picking up overnight. A tenth of an inch has fallen for most of
northern NC, but some portions near the Piedmont received up to
half an inch, potentially lessening but not entirely removing
the fire danger threat Saturday, as fuels were wetted.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) A cold front will bring a chance of showers this afternoon
into tonight along with gusty winds.

2) After below normal temperatures during this weekend, a
warming trend should take place next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1: A cold front will bring a chance of showers this
afternoon into tonight along with gusty winds.

Rainfall chances have been reduced as the cold front struggles
to cross the Appalachian Mountains today. Eventually, some
showers should reach the Blue Ridge, but the high-resolution
models indicate a scenario for the rain skipping some locations.
Some redevelopment of these showers may occur across the
Virginia Piedmont and into North Carolina later this afternoon
and evening. Winds should turn towards the northwest as the cold
front slowly heads eastward, and gusts up to 40 mph may be
possible along the higher elevations during this evening through
tonight. These gusts could linger into Saturday morning before
slowly fading by Saturday afternoon as high pressure builds
across Virginia and West Virginia.

KEY MESSAGE 2: After below normal temperatures during this
weekend, a warming trend should take place next week.

Temperatures should fall below freezing in the mountains on
Saturday morning, and most of the area may see freezing
temperatures by Sunday morning due to the dry air mass in place.
The below normal temperatures will end after this weekend as
high pressure heads offshore to promote a southwest flow
providing warm air advection across the eastern United States.
With upper level ridging also occurring aloft, next week should
see a notable warming trend with temperatures rebounding back
above normal. Highs could reach the 70s along and west of the
Blue Ridge by Tuesday and Wednesday, while the Piedmont may
climb into the lower 80s. The next chance of widespread rain
may not come until late Wednesday through the remainder of the
week as a cold front approaches to dampen the warmer weather.

&&

.AVIATION /01Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Many terminals are sub-VFR as a cold front has only just made it
through the area. The lowered cigs from showers earlier remain
for now, but will slowly lift during the day on Saturday as high
pressure takes position over the region.

In the wake of the aforementioned front, winds will turn to the
north and northeast, increasing in strength to 10-15 kts, with
potential gusts of 25-30 kts, especially at surface sites of
higher elevation in the mountains. VFR conditions return by
Saturday afternoon.

EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...

VFR conditions should continue through Sunday and into early
next week with high pressure keeping conditions generally dry.
Clouds will begin to increase from the west later next week as a
cold front organizes across the upper Mississippi River Valley
and the Great Lakes. Isolated showers may try to reach southeast
West Virginia during Monday and Tuesday, but the coverage
appears minimal and may not notably impact aviation. The next
significant chance for MVFR ceilings and rain showers appears to
arrive by late Wednesday as the cold front draws closer.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Fire weather concerns are rising for Saturday as the potential
for a widespread wetting rainfall this afternoon into tonight
seems to be diminishing. Northwest winds may gust towards 20-30
mph along the higher elevations by Saturday morning, and a dry
air mass should send relative humidities falling towards 15-20
percent across the Piedmont during Saturday afternoon. As a
result, fine fuels such as grass may become dry enough for
enhanced fire potential, particularly across North Carolina.
Winds should turn lighter by Sunday, but relative humidities
will still drop below 25 percent.

&&

.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...None.
NC...None.
WV...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...PW
AVIATION...PW/VFJ
FIRE WEATHER...PW