Lynchburg, Virginia 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

818
FXUS61 KRNK 140717
AFDRNK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
217 AM EST Sat Nov 14 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...

Updated aviation discussion.
Only modest updates to the forecast were made during this
forecast cycle.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Upslope snow showers fade out Saturday. Colder and quiet into
the weekend then gradual warmup.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...Snow showers end today, with colder and dryer
conditions forecast heading into the weekend, then gradual
warming through the work week ahead.

Another embedded shortwave rounding the base of the quasi-
stationary trough currently over the eastern Conus will continue
to provide some additional support for upslope snow showers
across portions of SE West Virginia, NW North Carolina, and SW
Virginia. These snow showers look to end by the early to mid
morning hours today. As this embedded shortwave makes its way
over the region, a slight increase in northwesterly 850mb winds
will lead to afternoon winds picking up across the region once
more, with gusts in the 20-25 mph range expected across mountain
locations, and 15-20 mph range expected for Piedmont locations.

Temperatures across the area will be much cooler compared to
earlier in the month, as the upper level trough remains over
the region through Sunday. Lower 500mb heights combined with
surface high pressure settling directly over the region by
Monday night will lead to several nights of ideal radiational
cooling with clear skies and calm winds. These 500mb heights
combined with 850mb temperatures in the -5 to -10 degree Celsius
range will keep high temperatures 5-10 degrees below normal for
the Piedmont, and 15-20 degrees below normal for locations west
of the Blue Ridge. Highs each day through the weekend will
remain in the upper 40s to low 50s in the Piedmont, with 30s and
40s for mountain locations. Overnight lows look to fall into
the 20s and 30s areawide both Saturday and Sunday nights.

By early next week, a gradual warming trend occurs, with highs
in the 50s and 60s by Tuesday and into the upper 60s to near 70
by Thursday with no rain expected all week.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...

Ongoing light snow showers are currently being observed at BLF
tonight. These light snow showers will likely continue through
the remainder of the overnight and into the early morning hours
today before diminishing by the mid morning hours. Off and on
snow showers will also likely continue at LWB during the same
window of time. These snow showers combined with upslope cloud
cover will lead to continued periods of MVFR to IFR CIGs at
BLF, LWB, and BCB through much of the TAF period. Terminals east
of the Blue Ridge such as ROA, LYH, and DAN look to remain at
VFR levels through the TAF period.

Winds will persist from the northwest through the forecast
period, gusting to around 20kts at times across the mountains
overnight, but look to increase to around 20-25 knots during the
morning and afternoon hours on Saturday. Gusts will remain at
or below 10kts across the Piedmont overnight, but will increase
to 20kts after 14Z. Sustained winds will diminish to less than
10kts areawide heading into Saturday night; however, mountain
terminals look to continue to maintain gusts up to 20 knots
through the overnight hours heading into Sunday morning.

OUTLOOK...

Sunday: Improving flight categories, although restrictions will
still be possible due to lower CIGs in the mountains for BLF and
LWB. Gusty NW winds are expected to continue, with speeds
possibly approaching 20 kts. or more.

Monday-Wednesday: No restrictions anticipated at this time as
high pressure settles over the region leading to ideal flight
conditions areawide.

&&

.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...None.
NC...None.
WV...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...EB
AVIATION...EB