Lynchburg, Virginia 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

125
FXUS61 KRNK 081736
AFDRNK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
136 PM EDT Fri May 8 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Aviation updated.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) A cold front will bring the next opportunity for
showers and thunderstorms Sunday into Monday. Cooler air again
to start the work week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...A cold front will bring the next opportunity for
showers and thunderstorms Sunday into Monday. Cooler air again
to start the work week.

Tranquil weather under high pressure prevails through much of
the weekend. May have an isolated shower or rumble of thunder on
Saturday afternoon across the Piedmont region. Sunday will be
even warmer with lighter winds. Increasing heights will yield
highs in the mid 70s to low 80s.

A cooler airmass arrives again by Monday and temperatures will
remain below normal through Tuesday. Coldest time period will be
Tuesday morning, which could potentially bring another round of
frost to the mountains as lows are forecast to fall into the
lower 30s.

Persistent trough over the eastern states will continue to bring
waves of upper energy through the region, courtesy of a 150 kt
jet aloft (about 3-4 standard deviations above normal according
to NAEFS). The next decent chance for rain will be Sunday
afternoon through Monday as weak low pressure develops along an
approaching cold front. At this time, rainfall looks to be light
and spotty, with the bulk of precipitation remaining farther
south and east of the forecast area. May see a few thunderstorms
but nothing strong is expected.

Early Wednesday through Thursday, a messy surface low pressure
pattern brings scattered convection to the region again, with
PWATs briefly jumping close an inch south of Highway 460.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Area-wide VFR and mainly clear skies will continue through this
afternoon as high pressure dominates the weather pattern. This will
continue through the night, though clouds will slowly begin to
increase, becoming overcast by Saturday morning. Light winds shift
to the south overnight, then to the southwest Saturday morning. Cigs
lower briefly midday Saturday, but are expected to easily remain at
VFR heights, with the only noticeable lowering at BLF/LWB, to around
4-5k feet, with a few light showers also possible there. Otherwise,
quiet weather and VFR last through the end of the TAF period. Winds
also increase midday Saturday, shifting back to the west, around 8-
13 knots, gusting to near 20 knots at all terminals.

Confidence in the above forecast is high.

Forecast confidence is high.

EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...

A stray shower/storm may occur in the mountains Saturday afternoon,
and westerly winds continue to gust 20-25 knots into the evening
before becoming light overnight. VFR flight conditions and quiet
weather are then expected to continue until Sunday afternoon when a
cold front approaches, bringing a better chance of showers/storms
and sub-VFR conditions to the mountains. More widespread rain moves
in Sunday night into Monday, bringing likely sub-VFR flight
conditions with showers/storms. Rain clears out by Monday evening,
as high pressure allows quiet weather and VFR conditions to return
to the area. Winds again increase Monday afternoon, gusting to
around 20 knots from the northwest behind the front. Quiet weather
and VFR continues through early Wednesday when the next system moves
into the area, bringing rain and likely sub-VFR back to the
area.

&&

.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...None.
NC...None.
WV...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...BMG/SH
AVIATION...JCB