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Lynchburg, Virginia 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
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NWS Forecast for 3 Miles SW Madison Heights VA
National Weather Service Forecast for:
3 Miles SW Madison Heights VA
Issued by: National Weather Service Blacksburg, VA |
| Updated: 2:30 pm EDT Apr 29, 2026 |
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This Afternoon
 Showers
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Tonight
 Showers then Mostly Cloudy
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Thursday
 Patchy Fog then Sunny
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Thursday Night
 Increasing Clouds
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Friday
 Mostly Sunny
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Friday Night
 Mostly Cloudy then Chance Showers
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Saturday
 Chance Showers
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Saturday Night
 Partly Cloudy
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Sunday
 Sunny
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| Hi 71 °F |
Lo 50 °F |
Hi 70 °F |
Lo 40 °F |
Hi 70 °F |
Lo 46 °F |
Hi 62 °F |
Lo 37 °F |
Hi 68 °F |
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Hazardous Weather Outlook
This Afternoon
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Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 5pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 5pm. High near 71. South wind around 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. |
Tonight
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Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm, then a chance of showers between 8pm and 9pm. Low around 50. Southwest wind around 6 mph becoming west after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. |
Thursday
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Patchy fog between 7am and 8am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, then gradually becoming sunny, with a high near 70. Northwest wind 6 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. |
Thursday Night
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Increasing clouds, with a low around 40. Northwest wind around 6 mph becoming calm in the evening. |
Friday
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Mostly sunny, with a high near 70. Calm wind becoming southwest 5 to 8 mph in the afternoon. |
Friday Night
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A chance of showers after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 46. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible. |
Saturday
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A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 62. Chance of precipitation is 50%. |
Saturday Night
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Partly cloudy, with a low around 37. |
Sunday
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Sunny, with a high near 68. |
Sunday Night
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Clear, with a low around 39. |
Monday
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Sunny, with a high near 75. |
Monday Night
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Partly cloudy, with a low around 49. |
Tuesday
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Mostly sunny, with a high near 80. |
Forecast from NOAA-NWS
for 3 Miles SW Madison Heights VA.
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Weather Forecast Discussion
607
FXUS61 KRNK 291731
AFDRNK
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
131 PM EDT Wed Apr 29 2026
.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Still seeing some potential for strong to severe thunderstorms this
afternoon, though morning rain and cloud cover is taking longer than
initially anticipated to clear out of the region. This will impact
the potential for and coverage of severe weather later today.
Temperatures have trended slightly colder for Sunday morning,
resulting in higher confidence for frost/freeze potential.
&&
.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Rain and a few thunderstorms today. Some of the
storms could be strong to severe. All severe threats are possible,
including damaging winds, hail, and an isolated tornado or two.
2) Another opportunity for rain Friday night into early
Saturday, but rainfall amounts will be light. Colder temperatures
with the potential for frost/freeze by Sunday morning.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1: Rain and a few thunderstorms today. Some of the
storms could be strong to severe. All severe threats are possible,
including damaging winds, hail, and an isolated tornado or two.
A strengthening surface low pressure system will move through the
Mid Atlantic into the northeast US today, with a trailing cold front
progged to cross the local forecast area this afternoon/evening.
Currently, the front is still to the west, across the Ohio Valley
into the Mid Mississippi Valley. The area still remains in a moist
airmass ahead of the front, with dewpoints in the mid to upper 50s
areawide. Morning rain is taking longer than initially anticipated
to move through the region, reaching the Piedmont now at the time of
this writing. Some storms did make it into western portions of the
forecast area earlier this morning, but have quickly faded to just
showers as activity moved towards and then east of the Blue Ridge,
thanks to abundant low clouds over central VA. Behind this
precipitation, more scattered, light rain showers are also starting
to make their way into southwest VA and southeast WV. Ample cloud
cover remains over the central Appalachians, with only a few pockets
of sunshine observed, mostly to the west. Coverage of showers and
storms this afternoon/evening will be dependent on the evolution of
this morning rain and subsequent clearing of the cloud cover. CAMs
are continuing to forecast anywhere from 500 J/kg to 1500+ J/kg of
SBCAPE by mid afternoon or so, which may be a little optimistic.
However, if this better afternoon destabilization is realized, bulk
shear is favorable for more organized convection, between 40 to 50
knots, particularly nearer to the front itself. This is supportive
of all severe hazards being possible, if strong thunderstorms can
develop, including damaging wind, hail, and an isolated tornado or
two.
Have had some decent rainfall with the morning precipitation, up to
half an inch in the Greenbrier Valley and New River Valley, locally
higher amounts where the embedded storms/heavy showers have been.
Total at the Blacksburg Airport was almost two thirds of an inch.
Could see another few tenths of an inch with the showers/storms this
afternoon, up to half an inch possible within the stronger storms.
KEY MESSAGE 2: Another opportunity for rain Friday night into
early Saturday, but rainfall amounts will be light. Colder
temperatures with the potential for frost/freeze by Sunday
morning.
A low pressure system will work its way towards the Carolinas by the
end of the week, which will bring the next opportunity for rain to
the area. An upper level trough will dig southward over the eastern
US, which will accomplish two main things for the local area. One,
it will serve to limit the northward extent of the precipitation
coming late Friday night into Saturday morning to mainly south of
the VA/NC state line. Precipitation amounts will be..... Two, it
will also allow colder air to filter into the area, dropping
temperatures on Sunday to..... Surface high pressure will expand
east behind the system on Saturday, and cover most of the
southeastern US by Sunday. With some moisture in the region and
subsidence keeping winds light and skies clearer, there is increased
potential for frost development by Sunday morning, since
temperatures will fall near freezing in the mountains. With
widespread greenup still underway after recent warmth and rainfall,
folks with agricultural interests should continue to monitor for any
frost/freeze headlines this weekend.
&&
.AVIATION /18Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
Has been a mix of flight conditions through this early
afternoon, with low clouds holding fast east of the Blue Ridge,
where ceilings are around 1kft or less. Conditions have
basically bouncing from MVFR to IFR, and even LIFR, in some
areas this morning. Starting to see some clearing in the west,
with scattered showers moving into the region. Precipitation
from this morning has finally started to fade as it reaches the
Piedmont at this time. Still seeing some potential for severe
thunderstorms to develop this afternoon/evening, especially if
this clearing continues, allowing for more atmospheric
destabilization. With any of the stronger storms that are able
to develop, strong winds and hail are possible, and even an
isolated tornado cannot be ruled out. All precipitation will
wind down later this evening, after 00Z Wednesday. May see some
patchy fog during the early morning hours Thursday, but
confidence is not very high, since winds look to remain
elevated, but still generally 10 knots or less, which could keep
the atmosphere mixed enough to prevent widespread fog.
Conditions should gradually improve to VFR for all terminals after
12Z Thursday, first for areas east of the Blue Ridge, and then by
midday Thursday for areas in the west. Winds will gust between 20 to
25 knots for the mountains, 15 to 20 knots for the Piedmont by
Thursday afternoon, increasing towards the end of the current TAF
period.
Confidence in the above forecast is moderate.
EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
Quiet weather continues until midday Friday, when showers move
into the area both from a trough to the north, and a system to
the south. Any rain could bring sub-VFR flight conditions, but
rain is not expected to be heavy or widespread, though all
terminals could be impacted at times through early Saturday.
High pressure then builds into the area for the remainder of the
weekend, with VFR expected area-wide.
&&
.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...None.
NC...None.
WV...None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...AS
AVIATION...AS/JCB
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