Lynchburg, Virginia 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

982
FXUS61 KRNK 281733
AFDRNK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
133 PM EDT Mon Sep 28 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Increased cloud coverage some through the afternoon based on
satellite trends.

Lowered dewpoints once again into midweek as airmass stays a
little drier than the NBM suggests.

Aviation updated.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Keeping quiet weather into Friday. Cold front approaches the
region Friday night returning rain chances to the area for next
weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1: Keeping quiet weather into Friday. Cold front
approaches the region Friday night returning rain chances to the
area for next weekend.


Cold air advection stratocu bringing mostly cloud skies to the
mountains/foothills this afternoon, and have increased sky
coverage from earlier forecast. Should see skies clear out this
evening into the overnight with overnight fog likely in the
cooler mountain valleys.

By Tuesday, the Nor`easter and its associated upper level trough
that have been off the coast of New Jersey and Long Island will finally
lift north and east of the region, which will allow for 500mb
heights and upper level ridging to build back into the region.
This will return daytime highs back into the upper 70s to low
80s for mountain locations, and upper 80s to low 90s for
Piedmont locations starting Wednesday and continuing through the
end of the work week. While temperatures will surge to above
normal values again, dewpoints look to remain in the 40s/50s
which will make the airmass feel much more tolerable.

By Friday night, a broad upper level shortwave trough looks to
slide east through the northern Great Lakes region. This will
usher in a cold front passage late on Friday and into Saturday
morning, which looks to moderate temperatures back to near
normal to start the weekend. This frontal boundary will also
return minimal rain chances to the area. Possible moisture from
a tropical system in the eastern Pacific will eventually track
into the southeast by early next week; however, timing and
specific details of how much rainfall are still uncertain at
this time. This moisture may bring the next best widespread
chance for rainfall across the region.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Sub-VFR ceiling may impact BLF briefly this afternoon but VFR
cigs in the 3-6kft range looks likely for most. Skies clear this
evening into the overnight. Fog could become an issue late at
LWB/BLF/BCB and kept close to the previous forecast of IFR or
lower after 08z. Fog/low stratus lift after 13z.

Winds out of the northwest at 5-10 knots, with gusts up to
10-15 knots are expected to become calm and variable through
the overnight hours.



EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...

Through Friday expect dry conditions and VFR. The exception
will be during each overnight, where patchy river/mountain
valley fog will remain possible, especially for LWB. Rain
chances return late Friday, which will increase the likelihood
of sub-VFR cigs/vsbys, especially west of the Blue Ridge
heading into the weekend.

&&

.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...None.
NC...None.
WV...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...EB/WP
AVIATION...EB/WP