Lynchburg, Virginia 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

839
FXUS61 KRNK 302333
AFDRNK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
733 PM EDT Fri Oct 30 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Evening aviation update.

Lowered dewpoints to match observations through tonight.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Clouds and more seasonable temperatures return for the
weekend into early next week.

2) Next chance of rain will be mid to late next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1: Clouds and more seasonable temperatures return
for the weekend into early next week.

A large surface high has moved into the area from the Upper
Midwest, while an upper-level ridge is across the Southeastern
US. This combination is keeping mostly clear skies and well
above normal temperatures across the area this evening. A dry
cold front moved through earlier this afternoon. Behind the
front, much drier air has moved in, with dew points having
fallen into the 30s.

For Saturday, temperatures will return to around normal for
this time of year, with highs in the 60s/70s. Clouds will also
increase by tomorrow afternoon, as an inverted trough forms
along the Ohio River Valley. Halloween night will be dry and
seasonable, though heavy cloud cover and light winds will add to
the spookiness.

High pressure will "wedge" in east of the Appalachians this
weekend, but temperatures will still remain around normal due
to the flow coming off of the Atlantic Ocean rather than from the
Northeast. The clouds stick around through the weekend and into
early next week, with temperatures remaining slightly above
normal.


KEY MESSAGE 2: Next chance of rain will be mid to late next week.

The dry weather is expected to continue through at least
Tuesday, which would be the 17th consecutive day with no
rainfall across most of the area. While that is nowhere near a
record, it is noteworthy. The system that was expected to impact
our area early next week is expected to remain off to our
south. Rain chances slightly increase on Wednesday, with a better
chance on Thursday.

A large upper-level trough will dive down across the central
CONUS, and move east into our area. Models are beginning to hint
at the system weakening as it arrives, though confidence this
far out remains low. In addition, the synoptic setup could be
quite complex, as there may be an additional offshore low
pressure system that could affect the approaching system from
the west. Regardless, mid to late next week is likely to be the
best chance of rain in the last three weeks. The system moves
through and out of the area by next weekend.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
VFR flight conditions continue across all terminals this evening
after a dry cold front pushed through the area earlier this
afternoon. Drier air has settled in, which will prevent any fog
from forming overnight, though a few high clouds have moved in.
High clouds slowly increase through the night, with cigs
becoming broken by midday Saturday, though flight conditions
will remain VFR with cigs remaining well over 10k feet. Cloud
cover and dry weather stick around through the end of the TAF
period.

Winds have begun to relax as the sun has now set, with only ROA
seeing 10+ knot winds, which should back off within the next
hour or two. Winds will shift to the northeast Saturday morning,
though staying under 10 knots through the end of the TAF period.

EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...

Dry weather continues through the weekend, though cloud cover
will remain heavy into early next week. However, cigs are
expected to remain VFR. Aside from any patchy morning fog in the
valleys, VFR persists through the middle of next week. Late
Wednesday into Thursday, a large storm system will move into the
area, bringing likely sub-VFR flight conditions and the best
chance of rainfall in weeks.

&&

.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...None.
NC...None.
WV...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...JCB
AVIATION...JCB