Lynchburg, Virginia 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

294
FXUS61 KRNK 281200
AFDRNK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
700 AM EST Wed Jan 28 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Cold Weather Advisory has been issued for southeast West
Virginia, far southwest Virginia and northwest North Carolina
for tonight.

In general, cold weather with below normal temperatures will
persist the remainder of week. Model signal is still there for
additional snow for parts of the Mid-Atlantic this weekend.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Snow showers taper off, but dangerously cold wind chills will
persist through tonight. Cold weather pattern continues through
the week.

2) Chance of snow increases areawide for Friday and Saturday
along with another surge of arctic air for the weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...Snow showers taper off, but dangerously cold
wind chills will persist through tonight. Cold weather
continues through the week.


Several reinforcing shots of cold air are expected through the
week. A very dominant northern stream will provide for some weak
to moderate frontal passages during the week, the first coming
through from the northwest tonight. These features are moisture
starved, so except for some clouds and upslope snow showers and
flurries, the biggest by-product will be the wind. Gusty
conditions will lead to low wind chills, especially at night
with single digit and sub single digit readings. Wind chills as
low as minus 10 will be possible again tonight for the western
mountain counties...warranting a cold weather advisory.

Periods of snow showers this morning, should begin to taper off
around daybreak, leading to partly sunny skies. Although
temperatures remain cold, this should aid in some daytime
melting of hard surfaces. However, a quick refreeze is expected
after sunset on any untreated surfaces.


KEY MESSAGE 2...Accumulating snow appears increasingly likely for
Friday and Saturday due to a coastal system, and more Arctic air and
gusty winds will bring dangerously low wind chills this weekend.

Significant disagreements still exist with the exact track of a
developing coastal system during late Friday into Saturday. A
shortwave trough diving southward should deepen and become a closed
low over the southern Appalachian Mountains. The natural baroclinic
zone between the Arctic air from Canadian high pressure to the west
and the warmer waters of the Gulf Stream to the east will help to
rapidly deepen the surface low. At the moment, snow chances appear
highest across the southern Blue Ridge and into the Piedmont. The
snow should taper to upslope snow showers in southeast West Virginia
by Sunday as a gusty northwest flow arrives behind the departing
system. It is still too early to predict any snowfall amounts due to
the aforementioned disagreements, but the bottom line is that
accumulating snow is becoming increasingly likely to occur for
Friday and Saturday.

In addition, Arctic air amidst a gusty northwest flow should arrive
for the upcoming weekend behind the coastal system. Wind gusts may
surpass advisory criteria along the southern Blue Ridge by Saturday
night into Sunday, which will cause a sharp drop in temperatures and
wind chill values and may even present an opportunity for blowing
snow. Based on the strong winds and low temperatures falling into
the single digits and possibly below zero along the higher
elevations by Sunday morning, wind chill values could reach 0 to -10
degrees in the Piedmont and -10 to -20 degrees along and west of the
Blue Ridge. Even wind chill values down to -25 degrees may be
possible for the higher peaks of western Greenbrier County and also
for Mount Rogers. The frigid air mass should begin to moderate
towards the middle of the upcoming week.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Still MVFR across the mountains with light snow showers
continuing. Snow will come to an end and lingering MVFR status
should by noon or so. After that, widespread VFR expected
through tonight.


Northwest winds remain elevated today and tonight. Some gusts
in the 20 to 25kt range for the mountains...a little less east
of the mountains.

EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...

Mainly VFR conditions through Thursday night.

Pockets to areas of sub-VFR conditions return Friday night
through Saturday night with snow expected for parts of the
region as low pressure tracks northeast along the east coast.

Winds on the backside of departing low will increase from the
northwest by Saturday night and remain gusty through the day
Sunday.

&&

.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...Cold Weather Advisory from 7 PM this evening to 11 AM EST
     Thursday for VAZ007-009>011-015-019-020.
     Cold Weather Advisory until 11 AM EST this morning for VAZ019-
     020.
NC...Cold Weather Advisory from 7 PM this evening to 11 AM EST
     Thursday for NCZ001-018.
WV...Cold Weather Advisory from 7 PM this evening to 11 AM EST
     Thursday for WVZ042>044-507-508.
     Cold Weather Advisory until 11 AM EST this morning for WVZ507-
     508.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...BMG/PW
AVIATION...BMG