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Lynchburg, Virginia 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
NWS Forecast for 3 Miles SW Madison Heights VA
National Weather Service Forecast for: 3 Miles SW Madison Heights VA
Issued by: National Weather Service Blacksburg, VA
Updated: 12:30 pm EDT Sep 4, 2026
 
This
Afternoon
This Afternoon: Scattered showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 5pm.  Sunny and hot, with a high near 98. Heat index values as high as 103. Northwest wind around 8 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Scattered
T-storms
Tonight

Tonight: Partly cloudy, with a low around 72. Calm wind.
Partly Cloudy

Saturday

Saturday: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 4pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 4pm and 5pm.  Sunny, then becoming mostly cloudy during the afternoon and hot, with a high near 92. Calm wind becoming northwest around 6 mph in the afternoon.  Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Mostly Sunny
then Showers
Likely
Saturday
Night
Saturday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 8pm and 2am, then a slight chance of showers after 2am.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 66. Calm wind.  Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Showers
Likely
Sunday

Sunday: A chance of showers, mainly between 8am and 2pm.  Partly sunny, with a high near 81. Northeast wind 5 to 8 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 30%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Chance
Showers
Sunday
Night
Sunday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 60.
Partly Cloudy

Labor
Day
Labor Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 81.
Mostly Sunny

Monday
Night
Monday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 59.
Mostly Clear

Tuesday

Tuesday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 85.
Mostly Sunny

Hi 98 °F Lo 72 °F Hi 92 °F Lo 66 °F Hi 81 °F Lo 60 °F Hi 81 °F Lo 59 °F Hi 85 °F

Hazardous Weather Outlook
Heat Advisory
 

This Afternoon
 
Scattered showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 5pm. Sunny and hot, with a high near 98. Heat index values as high as 103. Northwest wind around 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Tonight
 
Partly cloudy, with a low around 72. Calm wind.
Saturday
 
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 4pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 4pm and 5pm. Sunny, then becoming mostly cloudy during the afternoon and hot, with a high near 92. Calm wind becoming northwest around 6 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Saturday Night
 
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 8pm and 2am, then a slight chance of showers after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 66. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Sunday
 
A chance of showers, mainly between 8am and 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 81. Northeast wind 5 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Sunday Night
 
Partly cloudy, with a low around 60.
Labor Day
 
Mostly sunny, with a high near 81.
Monday Night
 
Mostly clear, with a low around 59.
Tuesday
 
Mostly sunny, with a high near 85.
Tuesday Night
 
Partly cloudy, with a low around 62.
Wednesday
 
Sunny and hot, with a high near 90.
Wednesday Night
 
Mostly clear, with a low around 68.
Thursday
 
Sunny and hot, with a high near 94.

 

Forecast from NOAA-NWS for 3 Miles SW Madison Heights VA.

Weather Forecast Discussion
331
FXUS61 KRNK 041045
AFDRNK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
645 AM EDT Fri Sep 4 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Air Quality Alert continues for the northern Piedmont of NC
Friday.

Severe weather chances look to increase across the area the next
two days, with cooler weather returning by Sunday areawide.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Heat and humidity continues today. Break in the heat late in
the weekend, but heat builds again towards the middle of next
week.

2) Strong to severe thunderstorms possible Friday and Saturday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1: Heat and humidity continues Friday. Break in the
heat late in the weekend, but heat builds again towards the
middle of next week.

The influence of the upper level ridge that has remained over
the region looks to linger for two more days this week before an
upper level trough starts to retrograde westward into the Mid-
Atlantic states by Saturday and Sunday. High temperatures
will reach the mid to upper 90s in the Piedmont today, potentially
reaching 100 degrees for some locations, which is 10 to 17 degrees
above seasonal normals. Heat indices will range from  100 to 105
today, though any cloud cover and precipitation could prevent
reaching the upper end of that range. With surface dewpoints
mixing out on Thursday into the low to mid 60s across the
Piedmont, many areas never saw heat index values reach Heat
Advisory criteria; therefore, a Heat Advisory will not be issued
for today across the area as dewpoints will likely do the same
thing today. This mixing out of surface dewpoints combined with
shower and thunderstorm chances will likely reduce chances for
heat index values to reach the 105 mark across the piedmonts of
VA and NC in our area today. Temperatures look to remain hot
again on Saturday, but slightly cooler, with highs in the low
to mid 90s across the Piedmont, and low to mid 80s across the
mountains.

The aforementioned retrograding trough will bring much lower
500mb heights and drier air to the region late on Saturday and
into Sunday. These lower 500mb heights will subsequently reduce
temperatures to near normal values for this time of the year,
with highs in the low to mid 80s east of the Blue Ridge, and
upper 70s to low 80s west of the Blue Ridge.

Model guidance is trending towards the upper level ridge
building back east into the Mid-Atlantic states and the
Southeast by the middle of next week. This looks to lead to hot
weather possibly returning to the region; however, headline
values of heat don`t look likely at this time.



KEY MESSAGE 2: Strong to severe thunderstorms possible Friday
and Saturday.

A westward retrograding upper level trough over the northeast
will push back the upper level ridge that has maintained itself
over the region over the last couple of days. As this occurs,
the amount of subsidence across the area should decrease as the
upper level ridge retreats west. This will allow storms to also
track through the region from the northwest from pieces of
shortwave energy track southeast along the eastern periphery of
the aforementioned upper level ridge. Storm activity today
looks to remain fairly scattered in nature, as the influence of
the upper level trough remains well to the northeast; however,
the environment supports strong damaging wind gusts across the
region with 1500-2000 J/Kg of SBCAPE, and 1000-1400 J/Kg of
DCAPE. Any storms that develop in this environment will likely
produce strong damaging outflows through the late afternoon and
evening hours.

By Saturday, the upper level trough looks to retreat further
south and west into the Mid Atlantic states. The timing of
another shortwave trough rounding the upper level ridge and
ejecting southeastward out of the Great Lakes region will
determine the threat for severe weather across the region. If it
occurs too early in the morning on Saturday, the threat for
severe thunderstorms in the afternoon and evening will likely be
diminished; however, if a disturbance pushes through the area
during the afternoon and evening, then strong to severe storms
will be likely areawide. At this time, CAM guidance has a
similar environment developing Saturday afternoon, with SBCAPE
values in the 1500-2000 J/Kg range, and DCAPE values in the
1000-1400 J/Kg range. Any storms developing in this type of
environment will once again be capable of producing strong to
damaging wind gusts in outflows.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
VFR conditions are primarily expected across all terminals for
the area. Some river valley fog is occurring at KLWB this
morning, and is expected to linger through the 13 UTC
timeframe. This fog and low stratus may lead to LIFR
restrictions at times; however, these restrictions should lift
back to VFR levels by the 13 UTC timeframe. Winds will remain
calm through the early morning hours; however, they look to
freshen to 5-10 knots with gusts up to 15 knots through the
afternoon hours out of the west/northwest. Some isolated
thunderstorms look to develop during the afternoon and evening
hours, with KDAN currently having high enough probabilities to
include in the TAF line. All other terminals currently do not
have high enough probabilities to include at this time as the
best chances look to remain along the VA/NC state line.


EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...

Additional chances for showers and thunderstorms are expected
Saturday with higher confidence across the area. A lingering
threat exists Sunday primarily across mountain locations,
though confidence is not as high on Sunday as compared to
Saturday. There is a potential for sub VFR conditions each
morning with mountain valley fog and in areas that receive rain.
Dry and breezy conditions, with primarily VFR conditions are
expected Monday and Tuesday.

&&

.CLIMATE...
Below are record high temperatures and high minimum temperatures
for the climate sites in the area. High temperature records were
broken at Lynchburg (99 degrees) and Danville (102 degrees)
today.



Friday 09/04/2026
Site  MaxT  Year  HiMin Year
KBLF    93   1925   74  1925
KDAN   101   1925   74  1993
KLYH    99   1925   72  1970
KROA    99   1925   80  1930
KRNK    93   1925   68  1953


SATURDAY 09/05/2026
Site  MaxT  Year  HiMin Year
KBLF    95   1954   76  1925
KDAN   101   1954   73  2012
KLYH    99   1954   71  1979
KROA   101   1954   72  2019
KRNK    93   1925   70  1899

&&

.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...None.
NC...Air Quality Alert from 10 AM this morning to 8 PM EDT this
     evening for NCZ004>006.
WV...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...EB
AVIATION...EB
CLIMATE...PM
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Forecast Discussion from: NOAA-NWS Script developed by: El Dorado Weather






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