Lynchburg, Virginia 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

427
FXUS61 KRNK 311812
AFDRNK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
212 PM EDT Sun May 31 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Monday has trended drier, but Tuesday still appears to have
widely scattered mountain showers/storms.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
KEY MESSAGE 1: Widely scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms are forecast on Tuesday as a cold front and
associated upper level disturbance pass across the lower Mid-
Atlantic.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...Widely scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms are forecast for Tuesday as a cold front and
associated upper level disturbance pass across the lower Mid-
Atlantic.

Trough will remain over the eastern US through Monday with a
stalled front remaining well south of the forecast area. This
will keep dry conditions in the forecast through tonight. Will
see some moisture increase on Monday across the Carolinas and
could be enough for isolated afternoon mountain showers to
develop during peak heating.

On Tuesday, storms will likely prove more widespread than the
isolated activity triggered on Monday. However, surface high
pressure and pools of dry air may work to inhibit deep storm
development. Given the lack of deep moisture returning to the
area, any rainfall is forecasted to remain brief in duration.
Likewise, any storms that do manage to develop are not expected
to become severe.

Wednesday through Friday will bring dry conditions and mostly
sunny skies, keeping the region pleasant before the next weather
system threatens to bring more rain by next weekend.

Mountain communities will enjoy highs in the 70s through
Monday, followed by a cooler dip into the 60s and low 70s on
Tuesday and Wednesday, before rebounding back into the upper 70s
to lower 80s late in the week. Meanwhile, the foothills and
Piedmont will experience highs mostly in the 70s, though
thermometers will flirt with the 80s both today and Monday.
After a slightly cooler stretch mid-week, a significant warming
trend will arrive by next Friday and Saturday, pushing
temperatures into the upper 80s to lower 90.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
High clouds have moved in across most of the area, but remain
scattered to occasionally broken in coverage with widespread VFR
flight conditions. This continues through tonight, with cigs
slightly lowering but remaining well within VFR flight levels.
Patchy fog is possible, mainly impacting LWB, where VSBY could
reduce to under 2 miles. BCB/BLF could also see some fog, with VSBY
dipping down between 4-6 miles between 08-13z. BLF could also see a
brief shower during that same time frame, though chances are fairly
low. Thanks to coastal high pressure and a passing front, winds will
remain slightly elevated overnight between 5-10 knots at
DAN/LYH/ROA, though gusts will stay under 15 knots.

Monday will be another quiet day with VFR at all terminals
through the end of the TAF period as high pressure continues to
push into the area. The biggest change tomorrow will be wind
direction, as southerly wind shifts to the north/northwest
behind a weak frontal passage overnight.

Confidence in the above forecast is high.

EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...

A few stray afternoon showers/storms may occur along the NC/VA line
Monday afternoon, but will be unlikely to directly affect any
terminals. DAN should be just far enough north to avoid any rain,
though it cannot be completely ruled out. VFR will continue at all
terminals into Monday night. Patchy fog again is possible Monday
night, which could cause sub-VFR conditions, likely confined to
BLF/LWB. A better chance of scattered showers/storms returns on
Tuesday, at least for all terminals except DAN/LYH. Any rain would
bring brief sub-VFR. Beginning Tuesday night, high pressure fully
engulfs the area, keeping quiet and dry conditions in place through
the rest of the week. Due to this, VFR is expected to continue at
all terminals. Patchy fog remains possible each overnight, mostly
confined to the valleys.

&&

.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...None.
NC...None.
WV...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...BMG/RCS
AVIATION...JCB