Lynchburg, Virginia 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

307
FXUS61 KRNK 042357
AFDRNK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
757 PM EDT Sat Apr 4 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Aviation update for 00Z TAFs.

Cooler temperatures, but near normal for this time of year will
persist through most of next week. Sub-freezing temperatures
becoming more likely during the overnight and early morning
hours early in the week.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1. A pattern shift keeps dry weather in place and cools
temperatures back to around normal beginning late Sunday, with
frost/freeze potential through the middle of next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1: A pattern shift keeps dry weather in place and
cools temperatures back to around normal beginning late Sunday,
with frost/freeze potential through the middle of next week.


Cooler, but more seasonal temperatures look to spread across the
area starting Sunday, with the passage of a cold front Sunday
morning. As this cold front pushes through the region, an upper
level trough looks to park itself across the Northeast, which
will help maintain cold temperatures and dry weather across the
area through the remainder of the week. by Tuesday and
Wednesday, a surface high pressure is expected to slide out of
the Great Lakes region into the general area of central PA. This
will bring in an additional re-inforcing shot of cold air out
of Canada for the middle of the week.

Highs on Monday and Tuesday of next week will generally
run in the 50/60s, with some upper 40s possible for elevations
above 3000 feet. Lows overnight will progressively get colder
through the middle of the week, with the coldest night expected
to be Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. Lows areawide look
to be in the mid 20s to low 30s areawide, with below freezing
temperatures expected areawide. Due to the growing season
starting this Sunday, April 5th, in the Piedmont, the cold
temperatures could cause some frost/freeze headlines to be
issued in the coming days as sensitive vegetation could be
impacted.

The other big story of next week will be the lack of rainfall.
No precipitation is forecast for the entire week after the
front moves through this Sunday. Models indicate it could be mid
April or later before another chance at a widespread wetting
rainfall. Combined with the growing season beginning, this could
cause some drought concerns going forward, considering most of
our area is already in a moderate to severe drought.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...

Scattered showers and isolated thunder are impacting mainly
BLF,LWB, and BCB this evening. Have kept VCSH in for these
terminals, but these should dissipate after sunset, leaving a
few hours without any convection in the TAFs. Beginning at 6 to
9Z we will see increasing SHRA and MVFR to LIFR ceilings and
visibilities develop as a cold front crosses the region. This
sub-VFR activity in -SHRA and perhaps -TSRA continues through
05/15 to 18Z in the mountains before the showers and
thunderstorms move southeast. Should see this activity end in
LYH and DAN by 20-21Z. May see improvement to VFR ceilings for
late afternoon into the evening tomorrow.

Gusty SSW continue tonight ahead of the front, with winds
becoming more westerly by late morning into early afternoon
tomorrow and remaining gusty. For central to western parts of
the area, expect a sharp wind shift to the northwest is expected
with winds gusting up to 30 kts in the wake of the cold front.

Immediately in advance of this front low level winds spike
around 35 kts -- enough to yield some localized LLWS across the
mountains for a couple hours prior to the FROPA.


EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...

Wind speeds will start to lessen late Sunday night into Monday.

Dry weather and VFR conditions are expected Monday through
Thursday.

&&

.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...None.
NC...None.
WV...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...EB/SH
AVIATION...CG/DS/SH