Lynchburg, Virginia 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

483
FXUS61 KRNK 012356
AFDRNK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
756 PM EDT Mon Jun 1 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Updated aviation section.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
KEY MESSAGE 1: Scattered mountain showers/storms on Tuesday, quiet weather for
the rest of the week as temperatures slowly rise.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...Scattered mountain showers/storms on Tuesday, quiet weather for
the rest of the week as temperatures slowly rise.

Weather remains mostly quiet across the area this afternoon,
although a few isolated showers will continue to move through the
area thanks to an upper-level trough across the Eastern CONUS.
Normally, this would allow for more active weather, however, a
surface high is pushing in from the north, keeping some dry air
in place, and suppressing most convection. Any light showers
dissipate by this evening, with quiet but mostly cloudy weather
overnight.

Tomorrow, an inverted trough develops form a surface low in the Deep
South, and will run north along the Appalachians. Moisture will
be limited, but the surface trough along with a deepening
upper-level shortwave trough will allow for some showers/storms
to develop during the afternoon hours. Coverage will not be
widespread, and any storms will not reach severe levels. Rain
chances have slightly trended down, but anywhere along/west of
the Blue Ridge could see some light rainfall. High temperatures
will be below normal tomorrow, in the 60s/70s, thanks to the
high to the north wedging in across the area.

Once the scattered showers/storms taper off Tuesday evening,
high pressure from Canada continues to push south, allowing a
slow warmup to occur as skies clear Wednesday. By Thursday,
highs will be back around normal, in the 70s/80s, as the high
centers over the Mid-Atlantic. Quiet and dry weather persists
from Wednesday through Saturday, as upper-level ridging along
with the surface high keep dry air and clear skies overhead. The
next chance of rainfall won`t be until Sunday afternoon, as the
surface high pushes offshore into the Western Atlantic, with a
warm, moist southerly flow allows summer-like weather to return
to our area. Daily showers/storms will be forecast into early
next week, and highs will rise into the 90s for the Piedmont.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
VFR conditions are expected through most of the region through
the conclusion of the valid TAF forecast period 00Z Wed/8PM EDT
Tues. The exception may be in association with some isolated to
scattered showers and/or storms across the western half of the
region Tuesday afternoon. Some of the heavier showers may cause
some brief and localized sub-VFR conditions.

Winds will generally be light and variable overnight, and become
more sustained around 7 to 10 kts from the northeast or east by
Tuesday afternoon. Winds will likely be variable in direction
and gusty in and near any thunderstorms.

EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...

Rain tapers off Tuesday evening, with high pressure building
in, keeping dry and quiet conditions across all terminals for
several days. VFR conditions will persist through at least
Saturday, with the only potential drop in flight conditions
being patchy nighttime fog, mainly for the mountain valleys,
which mainly would affect LWB. Otherwise, pleasant weather
continues.

&&

.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...None.
NC...None.
WV...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...JCB
AVIATION...DS/JCB