Lynchburg, Virginia 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

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FXUS61 KRNK 240603
AFDRNK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
203 AM EDT Tue Mar 24 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...

Aviation Updated.

No significant changes to the forecast, with dry weather
expected until Friday as another front pushes into the region.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...

1) Next best chance of precipitation by Friday night as
cold front brings another round of cool and dry air.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

KEY MESSAGE 1: Next best chance of precipitation by Friday night as
cold front brings another round of cool and dry air.


The weather pattern will vary for the next 7 days thanks to a
continuing theme of warm trends and cold fronts. A shortwave is
likely to arrive to the area by Thursday to provide a round of
showers for southeast WV. These showers will be upslope based as the
system will be arriving from the northwest and is not expected to
result in significant accumulation. Friday night, however, rain
chances areawide increase as a cold front pushes through. The
frontal passage at this point of the forecast looks to be overnight
Friday into early Saturday morning. The atmosphere will be more
stable at this time compared to Friday afternoon so severe weather
is very unlikely at this point. A mid-level ridge over the
CONUS/Mexican border is still planning on directing a small and
concentrated "ball" of energy towards the east, but it is still not
clear whether it will reach to the Mid-Atlantic or have any impact
on the triggering or intensification of storms for Thursday or
Friday. Nevertheless, the front`s passage from the north will likely
keep precipitation amounts highest along and north of US 460.

The front will send cooler and drier back into the region by the
weekend. If precipitation lingers, it could result in some scattered
snow showers in the western mountainous counties, but confidence on
this is pretty low this far out. Temperatures may be as high as the
70s and lower 80s before the front hits, but afterwards the highs
will likely be in the 40s and 50s with lows in the 30s and upper
20s. The center of a surface high pressure system may be above the
forecast area by this weekend which will put in another pause on any
precipitation. The ridge over the southern border, however, looks to
shift eastward, resulting in increased heights and another warming
trend for the region.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...


VFR conditions are expected to prevail at all terminals through
the TAF period. Some brief MVFR CIGs moved through BLF and are
currently over KMKJ tonight. These restrictions do not look to
impact any other larger terminals tonight, but may impact some
mountain terminals like KHLX and KGEV over the next few hours.
Outside of these CIGs, there are some orographic cirrus clouds
that have formed along the and east of the Blue Ridge tonight;
however, these CIGs are not currently causing any restrictions,
and are not expected to do so. Winds will generally remain light
at around 5 knots or less through the TAF period, with a wind
shift expected to occur during the mid morning hours from
north/northwest northeasterly and eventually easterly by the
afternoon hours and southeasterly by the end of the TAF period.
There are no Aviation concerns at this time.

EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...

VFR are expected to remain the dominant rule into Thursday
morning as high pressure maintains its grip on the region.
However, this period of clear skies will begin to deteriorate by
Thursday afternoon as an approaching system pushes light rain
showers into the mountains, likely bringing the first wave of
sub-VFR restrictions to the higher elevations. This trend will
continue into Friday as a cold front treks across the area,
providing a second opportunity for lowered ceilings and
visibilities as the frontal boundary interacts with the regional
terrain.

&&


.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...None.
NC...None.
WV...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...CG
AVIATION...EB/RCS
FIRE WEATHER...DS/SH