Lynchburg, Virginia 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

401
FXUS61 KRNK 072311
AFDRNK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
611 PM EST Sat Nov 7 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Forecast & Aviation sections updated.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Drier and mostly sunny weather into next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1: Drier and mostly sunny weather into next week.

The weather will be pretty benign for the next few days and for
the first half of next week. The cold front that passed through
is now in the Atlantic. It was cool Saturday with highs in the
upper 40s to the mid-60s but temperatures should recover a
little early next week. By Tuesday, high temperatures may be in
the lower 60s to lower 70s which will be a little warmer than
average for this time of year. The low temperatures will still
be on the colder side, with lows in the lower 30s to lower 40s.
Elevated areas can expect lows to be in the 20s tonight and the
next few nights. A decent pressure gradient over the Mid-
Atlantic will continue as a surface high persists to our west
and two propagating lows pass by to our north. This will result
in cold wind chill values in the 20s and 30s region wide for at
least the next three nights (including tonight). By the middle
of next week, 500mb heights become more zonally oriented
allowing for the recover of temperatures. This "warming" period
is brief as model guidance is pretty confident on a very large
mid-level trough swooping as far southward as the Gulf Coast by
Friday. This impressive feature will likely be carrying a
surface low which will bring a chance of precipitation to the
area towards the end of next week. The colder air that will be
traveling with it means there is a chance of some upslope
precipitation in the western mountains and widespread sub-
freezing temperatures for most of the area. Still, this event is
one week away so, for now, all we have is a signal.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Northwest flow in the wake of the reinforcing cold front
combined with residual low level moisture is helping to maintain
a MVFR or low end VFR stratocu ceiling across southeast West
Virginia. As the evening progresses, the coverage of the
stratocu will decrease in coverage thanks to both decreasing
moisture and wind speed, especially after sunset. After that
point, VFR conditions are expected for the entire region through
early Sunday afternoon.

Surface wind gusts near 20kts will continue to be common across
the mountains this evening, with lesser speeds in the lower
levels. Both sustained winds and gusts will decrease through the
evening hours. A light northwest wind later tonight is expected
to gradually back to the west or southwest by late Sunday
morning.


EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...

Over the weekend into early next week, high pressure is
expected to become centered over the southern US. A series of
reinforcing cold fronts are expected to cross the area, but
their associated better energy and moisture is expected to
remain north of the area, thus precipitation-free for our
region.

Thursday may mark the return of precipitation and sub-VFR
conditions to the area as a a northern stream system and a
southern stream system merge near or just west of our region.

&&

.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...None.
NC...None.
WV...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...CG
AVIATION...DS/RCS