Lynchburg, Virginia 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

425
FXUS61 KRNK 191756
AFDRNK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
1256 PM EST Fri Dec 19 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
Strong gusty winds will continue into the early overnight hours,
eventually subsiding early Saturday morning. High pressure will
pass overhead on Saturday, which will then be followed by the
passage of another weaker cold front across the region on
Sunday. A weak disturbance may bring light precipitation into
the region by Tuesday, but otherwise dry conditions and above
normal temperatures will continue into the middle of next week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 1245 PM EST Friday...

Key Messages:

1. Very gusty winds will continue into the evening hours.

2. Calmer winds by Saturday, along with above normal
temperatures.

High Wind Warning event will continue into the afternoon and
evening as a strong 850mb jet passes overhead. Strong pressure
rises coupled with the strong jet and daytime mixing has already
produced numerous reports of winds gusting into the 50 and 60
MPH range. Should see these gusts continue through sunset, but
will gradually decrease as high pressure to the west starts to
build in overhead. Winds by sunrise on Saturday should be much
lighter and light winds will persist through Saturday with high
pressure centered overhead.

Temperatures east of the mountains running a bit higher than
guidance as a result of downsloping WNW winds. Temperatures
gradually decreasing across the mountains with cold air
advection continuing. Will see a sharper areawide temperature
drop tonight with lows falling into the mid to lower 20s. A
quick rebound in temperatures tomorrow...highs in the upper 40s
to lower 50s.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
As of 1215 PM EST Friday...

Key Messages:

1. Dry and quiet weather Sunday.

2. Rain chances increase Monday night, with potential for brief
period of freezing rain.

3. High temperatures near normal, mild low temperatures.

Surface high pressure will move eastward across the area and farther
into the Atlantic through Sunday, and a 500mb trough also moves
east across southeast Canada and the northeast US. The surface
low associated with the trough will drag a dry cold front
through the area Sunday into Monday. With another surface high
quickly moving in behind the front, will see some increase in
winds, between 20 to 30 mph possible, on the stronger end of the
range along the ridges. Will also see an increase in cloud
cover, which will help temper the high temperatures in the
mountains Sunday, keeping them in the low to mid 40s.
Downsloping northwesterly winds behind the front will add some
additional warming in the Piedmont, with highs in the upper 50s.

The next high pressure system that moves overhead Sunday into
Monday will keep the dry weather in the area through the
beginning of the work week, then slides to the east off the
coast towards Monday night. Return flow around the high and
increasing southwesterly flow ahead of a cold front approaching
from the west will bring more moisture into the region late
Monday. With the moisture overrunning the high, could see a
brief period of freezing rain at the onset of precipitation late
Monday for the high elevations in the Alleghany Highlands and
Greenbrier Valley. Amounts at this time look to be light, NBM
probabilities are around 30% or less for freezing rain amounts
over 0.02", and more likely for only elevated surfaces. Some
uncertainty remains in the development of any freezing rain,
depending on the timing of the precipitation and surface
temperatures.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 1155 AM EST Friday...

Key Messages:

1) Chances of rain may linger across the mountains throughout
this forecast period due to weak disturbances.

2) Temperatures will trend milder towards the end of the week.

Precipitation may begin as a brief wintry mix on Tuesday morning
in the mountains before quickly switching to rain as a southwest
flow pumps milder air towards the Appalachian Mountains. The
moisture will be associated with a passing cold front with most
of the dynamical energy staying well to the north. Amounts do
not appear impressive from this frontal passage.

However, the frontal boundary will stall by Tuesday night and
lift back northward as a warm front on Christmas Eve. Weak
disturbances traversing along the frontal boundary could
continue to keep chances of rain west of the Blue Ridge through
Christmas Day and Friday. Meanwhile, the southerly flow should
allow warm air advection to persist through the end of the week,
which will push high temperatures towards the 50s and 60s.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 1245 PM EST Friday...

Gusty WNW winds will persist through at least 00z tonight, but
will gradually decrease as high pressure builds east over the
Mid-Atlantic tonight. Gusts in the 30 to 40kt range will
continue to be common across the mountains and Foothills.
Highest elevations along the Blue Ridge from TNB to ROA could
see occasional gusts to 50kts. Other than gusty winds through
this evening, expecting VFR to persist through tomorrow.

.EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...

VFR conditions are expected through the weekend. A weak cold
front Sunday may bring a changing wind shift, but no
precipitation. Another weak disturbance may bring a chance of
sub-VFR on Tuesday.

&&

.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...High Wind Warning until 10 PM EST this evening for VAZ015>017-
     022.
     Wind Advisory until 10 PM EST this evening for VAZ007-009>014-
     018>020-023-024-032>035.
NC...High Wind Warning until 10 PM EST this evening for NCZ001-002-
     018.
     Wind Advisory until 10 PM EST this evening for NCZ003-019.
WV...Wind Advisory until 10 PM EST this evening for WVZ042>044-507-
     508.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...BMG
NEAR TERM...BMG
SHORT TERM...AS
LONG TERM...PW
AVIATION...BMG