Lynchburg, Virginia 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

737
FXUS61 KRNK 052241
AFDRNK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
641 PM EDT Mon Oct 5 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Aviation updated.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Dry weather prevails for the rest of this week with
moderating temperatures. Patchy frost may occur in the
Greenbrier River Valley and at Burkes Garden during Tuesday and
Wednesday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...Dry weather prevails for the rest of this week
with moderating temperatures. Patchy frost may occur in the
Greenbrier River Valley and at Burkes Garden during Tuesday and
Wednesday.

High pressure should build across the Appalachian Mountains
later this evening into tonight. Cloud cover will gradually
dissipate as a northwest breeze gusting up to 20 mph advects
drier air from Canada. With winds becoming lighter overnight
amidst clear skies and falling dewpoints, temperatures may fall
into the mid to upper 30s to promote patchy frost in the
Greenbrier River Valley and at Burkes Garden. Elsewhere,
temperatures should reach the 40s. Patchy river valley fog could
develop early Tuesday morning west of the Blue Ridge, while a
thin layer of moisture gets trapped under the subsidence
inversion along and south of Route 460 that could produce
scattered low clouds.

After a chilly Tuesday morning, temperatures should moderate as
the center of high pressure reaches the East Coast. The flow
will turn towards the southwest during Wednesday and Thursday to
boost temperatures into the 70s and 80s. A frontal passage to
the north late Thursday could bring slightly cooler air by
Friday, but another area of high pressure should keep conditions
dry through Saturday. The lack of rainfall this week will only
worsen the ongoing drought across the Piedmont. Although
confidence remains low at this time due to significant model
spread for Sunday and beyond, a tropical disturbance in the Gulf
might provide the next chance of rain.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
VFR conditions are expected at all terminals through the period.
Exception will be patchy fog at BLF/LWB/BCB, but higher
confidence at LWB compared to BLF/BCB. A potential for some
sct/bkn VFR clouds at KDAN late tonight into Tuesday morning.

EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
High pressure will keep VFR conditions throughout the rest of
this week. The lone exception will be any patchy river valley
fog in the mountains during the early morning hours. Winds
should turn towards the southwest by Wednesday and swing back
around to the northwest late Thursday due to a frontal passage
to the north. Clouds could increase from the south on Saturday,
but any impacts to aviation may not take place until later in
the weekend.

&&

.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...None.
NC...None.
WV...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...PW
AVIATION...PW/WP