Lynchburg, Virginia 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

058
FXUS61 KRNK 201027
AFDRNK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
627 AM EDT Mon Apr 20 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Aviation Updated for 12 UTC.

Frost Advisory remains in effect for much of SE West Virginia
and a Freeze Warning has been issued for Western Greenbrier
county into Monday morning.

A Freeze Warning has replaced the Freeze Watch for all of
southwest Virginia, southeast West Virginia, and northern
mountains of North Carolina Monday night.

A Frost Advisory has been issued for portions of NW North
Carolina`s Piedmont Monday night into Tuesday morning.

A Fire Weather Danger Statement has been issued for Virginia and
North Carolina.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1. Widespread coverage of sub-freezing temps Monday night over
much of the area.

2. Warming up through the week with not much shower chances
until next weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1: Widespread coverage of sub-freezing temps Monday night
over much of the area.

With upper level troughing remaining over the region tonight
into Tuesday combined with surface high pressure settling over
the region tonight, temperatures across the area will fall into
the upper 20s to low 30s areawide. This will lead to widespread
freeze concerns, with winds going calm, and skies remaining
clear, effectively leading to ideal radiational cooling
conditions. While frost may not be as common given RH values
overnight may only be in the 50-60% range, temperatures look to
be cool enough to cause damage to outdoor plants across the
region. Out of precaution, Freeze warnings have been issued for
all of Virginia, West Virginia, and mountain NC counties. A
Frost Advisory has been issued for the NW North Carolina
Piedmont, where the threat for freezing temperatures is not as
high; however, localized temperatures may drop within 1-2
degrees above freezing leading to possible plant damage
nonetheless.

Key Message 2: Warming up through the week with not much shower
chances until next weekend.

By Tuesday, upper level ridging is expected to start building
across the region. As this occurs, temperatures look increase
throughout the week to back above normal values for this time of
year. Highs look to climb back into the 70s in the mountains,
and low to mid 80s in the Piedmont by Wednesday.

A few showers/storms look possible on Wednesday with the
approach of an upper level shortwave; however coverage looks to
be minimal at this time, with the best chances forecast north of
460. Better rainfall chances don`t look to move into the area
until next weekend.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...

VFR conditions look to prevail through the period, with some
possible yet brief MVFR CIGs pushing through BLF and LWB this
morning. These CIGs are currently not leading to any
restrictions to upstream terminals, so the probability of seeing
restrictions is low.

Gusty northwest winds of 20-25 knots look to pick up through the
late morning and afternoon hours at all terminals; however,
they look to diminish towards the evening as the sunsets. Winds
look to become calm and transition to out of the north towards
the end of the TAF period, before becoming calm during the 09-12
UTC timeframe.


EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...

VFR is expected through the week. Exception would be a few
showers/storms late week in the mountains.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Today will be drier as RH values drop to 10 to 20 percent east
of the mountains and 20 to 25 percent in the mountains. Winds
will also remain elevated out of the northwest, with gusts in
the 20-25 mph range for much of the area. Some ridge lines
across the mountain zones may see gusts up to 30 mph through the
afternoon hours today.

Given the conditions mentioned above, and the underlying dry
conditions over the last month or so, a Fire Danger Statement
has been issued for Virginia and North Carolina today.

The rest of the week appears mostly dry, with temps warming up
after Tuesday back to above normal values. Northwest winds 10-15
mph, gusting 20-25 mph will enhance the risk of wildfire
potential.

Will be fairly dry the rest of the week, with any showers being
widely scattered in the mountains. Next "better" coverage may be
next weekend with a front.

&&

.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...Freeze Warning from midnight tonight to 9 AM EDT Tuesday for
     VAZ007-009>020-022>024-032>035-043>047-058-059.
NC...Freeze Warning from midnight tonight to 9 AM EDT Tuesday for
     NCZ001-002-018.
     Frost Advisory from midnight tonight to 9 AM EDT Tuesday for
     NCZ003>006-019-020.
WV...Freeze Warning from midnight tonight to 9 AM EDT Tuesday for
     WVZ042>044-507-508.
     Frost Advisory until 10 AM EDT this morning for WVZ042>044-507.
     Freeze Warning until 10 AM EDT this morning for WVZ508.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...EB
AVIATION...EB
FIRE WEATHER...EB/WP