Lynchburg, Virginia 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

541
FXUS61 KRNK 062235
AFDRNK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
635 PM EDT Mon Apr 6 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Aviation forecast has been updated.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1. Cooler temperatures through midweek, then a gradual warming
trend for the latter half of the week and into the weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1: Cooler temperatures through midweek, then a
gradual warming trend for the latter half of the week and into
the weekend.

High pressure is building into the area from the northwest.
These winds are advecting a much drier airmass into the
region. Expecting dewpoints to fall into the teens by Tuesday
and linger through mid week before gradually modifying into the
weekend. This will produce low afternoon humidity resulting in
good drying conditions. It will also allow temperatures to cool
off at night, supporting overnight lows in the 20s across the
mountains and 30s for the piedmont. Will likely need to
entertain frost and/or freeze headlines for counties where the
growing season has started...the piedmont and foothills of the
Blue Ridge for both Wednesday and Thursday mornings. Winds
should remain strong enough tonight to prevent frost formation,
but as winds die off for Tuesday night and Wednesday night
should permit ideal conditions for radiational cooling.

Dry weather will continue to persist into the weekend as high
pressure continues to dominate the weather. As the high moves
east of the region this weekend will see a gradual warming trend
with increasing southwest flow...Should have temperatures back
to the 70s and low 80s for the weekend. There is a weak front
that may tease the area Saturday. Models show it approaching the
area from the Ohio Valley, then falling apart as it crosses the
mountains. Attm, only entertaining low chance for showers
across the northern part of the CWA, along and north of highway
460 on Saturday.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Confidence is high in VFR conditions through tonight and Tuesday
as high pressure builds eastward from the northern Plains. Winds
should diminish overnight but may increase on Tuesday from the
northwest with gusts of 15 to 20 knots towards the afternoon.

EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
With high pressure in control through Friday, VFR conditions
are expected through the rest of this workweek. The next chance
of any rainfall and potential MVFR ceilings may come by
Saturday west of the Blue Ridge from an approaching cold front,
but confidence of any impacts is rather low as this front will
weaken as it reaches the Appalachian Mountains.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
The weekend rain was beneficial, but now look for an extended
drying trend with no chance of rain until at least Saturday,
and even Saturday`s chance does not look meaningful. The airmass
that will be over the area this week will be very dry, allowing
for good drying conditions. Humidity minimums will likely test
20%, and in some areas dip into the teens during the afternoon,
especially south facing slopes. Winds today and Tuesday will
feature some gusts in the 20 mph range, then diminish as high
pressure passes overhead Wednesday and Thursday. In spite of the
diminishing wind, a variance may be required for prescribed
fire due to the low humidity forecast.

&&

.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...None.
NC...None.
WV...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...PM
AVIATION...PW
FIRE WEATHER...PM