Lynchburg, Virginia 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

771
FXUS61 KRNK 151043
AFDRNK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
643 AM EDT Mon Jun 15 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Aviation Updated.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Cooler than normal temps to start off the workweek, then
warming up by Wednesday.

2) Frontal boundary may bring strong/severe storms Thursday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1: Cooler than normal to start the workweek, then
warming trend.

Expect high pressure over the Midwest to east/southeast into
the area through Tuesday. This will bring lower humidity and a
breeze today with temperatures running about 5-10 degrees below
normal.

As the high moves offshore by Wednesday should see temps
returning to at or above normal with increasing humidity.


KEY MESSAGE 2: Frontal boundary may bring some strong/severe
storms Thursday.

Dry through Wednesday, then an upper shortwave trough will
pivot across the Lower Great Lakes/Northeast Thursday, with a
strong southwesterly jet streak forecast to overspread parts of
the Ohio Valley into New England. A moist and unstable airmass
is expected ahead of an eastward-advancing cold front and a
severe risk may unfold across parts of our area, but especially
north of I-64.

Beyond Thursday, models differ somewhat on speed of front and
chance of showers/storms. Leaning toward slower solution, but by
the weekend its looking dry with another drop in humidity by
Saturday.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Northwest flow will keep sub-VFR cigs at BLF through 14-15z,
then VFR areawide through the rest of the period. Exception may
be some MVFR/IFR fog at LWB late tonight.

A few gusts to 20kts possible into mid to late morning mainly
from ROA west, then winds drop Monday evening.

EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK

Expecting mostly VFR conditions through midweek. Cannot rule out
some river fog near LWB Tuesday and Wednesday morning. Storm
chances increase Thursday with potential sub-VFR Thu-Fri.

&&

.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...None.
NC...None.
WV...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...WP
AVIATION...RCS/WP