Lynchburg, Virginia 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

855
FXUS61 KRNK 090604
AFDRNK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
204 AM EDT Wed Sep 9 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Aviation forecasts have been updated.

The speed of a cold front is trending slower.
&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Above average temperatures expected through the
period.

2) Precipitation chances increase tomorrow and continue
through at least the weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Key Message 1: Above average temperatures expected through the
period.

A broad upper ridge and high pressure at the surface is expected to
remain across the area heading into Thursday. A cold front is
expected to approach the region on Thursday, but the trend of this
feature has been one of a slowing feature. This will help allow for
a continuation of well above normal temperatures across the area.
Even when the front arrives on Friday, the cooling it brings will be
minimal with values still staying above normal into early next week.
We have an approaching shortwave trough progressing through the
Great Lakes to thank for this. The Friday cold front is expected to
return north as a warm front and cross the region during the
weekend.

Key Message 2: Precipitation chances increase tomorrow and continue
through at least the weekend.

With a cold front approaching our northwest on Thursday, look for a
return of showers and a few storms mainly over parts of southeast WV
and neighboring sections of southwest VA. As Thursday night
advances into Friday, look for coverage to improve across the region
as the cold front enters, and then crosses the region. This same
front is expected to return north as a warm front on Saturday thanks
to a shortwave trough across the Great Lakes region. This
progression of fronts will keep showers and a few storms in the
forecast. High precipitable water values will keep the potential
for locally heavy rain on the high side, especially any location
which can experience training of showers/storms. Little chance in
our weather pattern is expected into early next week as yet another
upstream system takes aim on the region.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...

Primarily VFR conditions are expected for the vast majority of the
region during the extent of the valid TAF forecast, concluding at
06Z/2AM EDT Thursday. The exception will be some patchy fog/mist and
sub-MVFR stratus the remainder of tonight continuing into the early
morning across some of the river and mountain valleys, especially in
and around KLWB  Any sub-VFR conditions are expected to improve to
VFR not long after sunrise. Winds will generally be light and
variable.


EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...

Showers and storms return to the forecast on Thursday, and continue
into the weekend. The probability of sub-VFR conditions will
increase through this period, especially starting Friday into Friday
night once the area is on the backside of the departing cold front,
and low level winds may take on more of an easterly component.
&&

.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...None.
NC...None.
WV...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...DS
AVIATION...DS