Lynchburg, Virginia 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

320
FXUS61 KRNK 250521
AFDRNK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
121 AM EDT Tue Aug 25 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Aviation Forecast Updated.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Drier cooler weather remains through today, with next rain
chances returning Wednesday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1: Drier cooler weather remains through today, with
next rain chances returning Wednesday.

High pressure and upper level troughing will continue to remain
over the eastern Conus through Tuesday, and the early portion of
Wednesday. This will keep temperatures slightly cooler than
average through the Tuesday. By Wednesday, the upper level
trough looks to finally get ejected to the northeast, which will
start to raise 500mb heights and subsequently surface
temperatures and humidity across the region. As this happens,
the surface high pressure that looks to remain quasi-stationary
across the region through Tuesday will slowly push east and
allow the Bermuda surface high to take over. This will pump more
moisture back into the region from the western Atlantic, and
return the summer like humid airmass areawide by Wednesday.

Again on late Wednesday, an upper level shortwave vorticity
maxima looks to eject southeastward through the northern Great
Lakes region. This shortwave looks to have a cold front
associated with it at the surface that will bring rain chances
back into the region by Thursday afternoon and evening. At this
time, it appears that the mountains will see better chances of
showers and thunderstorms based off of the timing of the cold
front; however, this could change in the coming days. It`s still
too soon at this time to know whether these storms will bring
the chance for severe weather or flash flooding, as this will
greatly depend on the timing associated with the passage of the
aforementioned cold front. Once CAM guidance comes into range
starting late Tuesday, more information will be known on the
overall severity of these storms, and their potential impacts
to the region.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Quiet aviation weather the next 24 hours. VFR, except potential
IFR or lower vsbys at LWB this morning due to river fog.

OUTLOOK...

An increase in chances for showers/storms returns Wed afternoon
through Saturday. Overall aside from storms and any late night
fog, should be VFR.

&&

.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...None.
NC...None.
WV...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...EB
AVIATION...CG/EB/WP