Lynchburg, Virginia 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

752
FXUS61 KRNK 071710
AFDRNK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
110 PM EDT Thu May 7 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...

Frost Advisory for portions of southeast West Virginia late
tonight through early Friday morning.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Patchy frost in the mountains tonight.

2) A cold front will bring the next opportunity for showers and
thunderstorms Sunday into Monday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...Patchy frost in the mountains tonight.

Showers and clouds linger this afternoon along a cold front that
continues to move south, away from the forecast area. Skies will
gradually clear this evening and overnight as high pressure
builds in through Friday. This high pressure, combined with
clearing skies and calming winds, will bring an opportunity for
frost early Friday morning. Frost is not expected to be
widespread and will be mainly confined to sheltered higher
elevation valleys. Highest confidence for frost will be across
portions of southeast West Virginia.

KEY MESSAGE 2...A cold front will bring the next opportunity
for showers and thunderstorms Sunday into Monday. Cooler air
again by mid-week.

Persistent trough over the eastern states will continue to bring
waves of upper energy through the region. The next favorable
passage will be Sunday and Monday as weak low pressure develops
along an approaching cold front. This will provide the next
chance of showers and possibly a few storms. At this time,
rainfall appears to still be spotty and not widespread, with the
bulk of precipitation remaining further south and east of the
forecast area. Another cool airmass moves in by Tuesday with
overnight lows falling into to 30s and low 40s.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Widespread low VFR to MVFR conditions are in progress across
the area in rain and fog; with Bluefield currently in LIFR
conditions. Could see lower conditions today with another broad
area of rain develop around 4-6 AM this morning and slowly
sinking south during the day. After 10 AM, most of the rain
will be concentrated south of Highway 460, but we will continue
to see light rain showers and a little fog at times even over
the mountains. Could see a few lightning strikes later today but
this will be mostly confined to DAN. Showers shift southeast
and out of the Piedmont later this afternoon. We will see a slow
improvement in ceilings with VFR becoming widespread after 2
PM. Fog should dissipate by noon at latest.

We should scatter out in mid and high clouds this evening.
Could be some residual moisture for a little fog and/or frost
around BLF and LWB Friday morning, otherwise VFR.

Winds will turn more north/northwesterly in the mountains today
and northeast to easterly for the Piedmont by this afternoon.
Speeds will generally by 8 to 12 knots or so, but gusts up to 20
knots are possible. Expect mostly calm winds overnight.

Forecast confidence is moderate.


EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...

VFR conditions persist Friday and Saturday. On Sunday into
Monday increasing moisture and another frontal passage brings
additional shower/storm chances and possibly sub-VFR conditions.

Winds become gusty and southwesterly by Friday. By Saturday
westerly winds will exhibit gusts to 25 kts. Winds will be
light and variable Sunday morning becoming WSW and gusty to 20
kts Sunday afternoon. Monday looks especially gusty with NW
winds developing behind a frontal passage with gusts to 25 kts
or more at times.

&&

.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...None.
NC...None.
WV...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...BMG
AVIATION...SH