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Lynchburg, Virginia 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
NWS Forecast for 3 Miles SW Madison Heights VA
National Weather Service Forecast for: 3 Miles SW Madison Heights VA
Issued by: National Weather Service Blacksburg, VA
Updated: 3:00 am EDT Jul 4, 2026
 
Independence
Day
Independence Day: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 5pm.  Sunny and hot, with a high near 103. Heat index values as high as 109. Calm wind becoming southwest around 5 mph in the afternoon.  Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Sunny then
Chance
T-storms
Tonight

Tonight: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 7pm.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 72. Light and variable wind.  Chance of precipitation is 30%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Chance
T-storms then
Partly Cloudy
Sunday

Sunday: Sunny and hot, with a high near 101. Heat index values as high as 105. Calm wind becoming south around 6 mph in the afternoon.
Hot

Sunday
Night
Sunday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2am.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 71. Calm wind.  Chance of precipitation is 40%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Chance
T-storms then
Chance
Showers
Monday

Monday: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 2pm and 5pm, then showers and thunderstorms likely after 5pm.  Mostly cloudy and hot, with a high near 94. Calm wind becoming east around 5 mph in the afternoon.  Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Partly Sunny
then T-storms
Likely
Monday
Night
Monday Night: Showers and thunderstorms likely before 8pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 8pm and 2am, then a slight chance of showers after 2am.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 69. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
T-storms
Likely then
Showers
Likely
Tuesday

Tuesday: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm.  Partly sunny and hot, with a high near 90. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Mostly Sunny
then Showers
Likely
Tuesday
Night
Tuesday Night: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 8pm and 2am.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 68. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Showers
Likely then
Chance
T-storms
Wednesday

Wednesday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm.  Partly sunny, with a high near 89. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Partly Sunny
then Chance
T-storms
Hi 103 °F Lo 72 °F Hi 101 °F Lo 71 °F Hi 94 °F Lo 69 °F Hi 90 °F Lo 68 °F Hi 89 °F

Hazardous Weather Outlook
Extreme Heat Warning
 

Independence Day
 
A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 5pm. Sunny and hot, with a high near 103. Heat index values as high as 109. Calm wind becoming southwest around 5 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Tonight
 
A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 7pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 72. Light and variable wind. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Sunday
 
Sunny and hot, with a high near 101. Heat index values as high as 105. Calm wind becoming south around 6 mph in the afternoon.
Sunday Night
 
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 71. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Monday
 
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 2pm and 5pm, then showers and thunderstorms likely after 5pm. Mostly cloudy and hot, with a high near 94. Calm wind becoming east around 5 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Monday Night
 
Showers and thunderstorms likely before 8pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 8pm and 2am, then a slight chance of showers after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 69. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Tuesday
 
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. Partly sunny and hot, with a high near 90. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Tuesday Night
 
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 8pm and 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 68. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Wednesday
 
A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 89. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Wednesday Night
 
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm, then a chance of showers between 8pm and 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 68. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Thursday
 
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny and hot, with a high near 92. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Thursday Night
 
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 69. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Friday
 
Mostly sunny and hot, with a high near 94.

 

Forecast from NOAA-NWS for 3 Miles SW Madison Heights VA.

Weather Forecast Discussion
646
FXUS61 KRNK 040757
AFDRNK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
357 AM EDT Sat Jul 4 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Aviation Discussion updated. Headlines for heat remain the
same. Confidence increasing for greater coverage of afternoon
and evening thunderstorms.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
Key Message 1: Hot conditions continue with heat wave likely ending
next week.

Key Message 2: Multiple chances of showers and thunderstorms
starting today and going into next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...Hot conditions continue with heat wave likely ending
next week.

It will be another hot day for the region. Once again, much of the
area will have heat indices above 100 degrees east of the Blue Ridge
and heat indices over 110 in the Piedmont. While additional record
high temperatures are possible this afternoon, they will be racing
against the clock to beat the thunderstorms later today. The
storms will be hit or miss but may expand enough cloud cover
to put a lid on high temperatures if the form earlier than
anticipated.

The mid-level ridge over the eastern CONUS will continue to break
down allowing for more northwesterly flow and a small decrease
in overall temperatures. Hot conditions are still possible on
Sunday and Monday but temperatures will gradually decline
towards normal averages. By Tuesday, highs will likely be in
the lower 80s to lower 90s.


Key Message 2: Multiple chances of showers and thunderstorms
starting today and going into next week.

While the heat headlines continue, attention is growing towards
thunderstorm development for the next several days including day. As
mentioned in Key Message 1, scattered thunderstorms are possible
this afternoon throughout the region, starting at around 2PM. DCAPE
values are projected to be over 1000 J/kg resulting in favorable
conditions for downdrafts and damaging wind gusts. The scattered
nature of the storms means it will be hit or miss for location. The
absence of wind shear means many storms will be pulse based and
be relatively short lived. Even so, PWAT values of 1.5-2.0
inches suggest heavy rainfall with most of these storms which
could lead to localized flooding. CAM models do not rule out the
possibility of storms lingering into the night.

The breakdown of the mid-level ridge will permit the passage of
shortwaves and the stormy pattern will likely persist into next
week. Sunday will be another good chance of showers and
thunderstorms as a blob of vorticity to our west may be sent through
the Mid-Atlantic. This vorticity will be forced through by a mid-
level trough that will move eastward to our north. Severe weather is
possible again due to the hazard of wind gusts in the southeast WV
and VA counties. As we head into next week the chances for showers
and thunderstorms continue on a nearly daily basis.


&&

.AVIATION /07Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Aside from localized mountain valley fog before 14z/10AM,
primarily at Lewisburg, expect VFR conditions through
Saturday night.  Caveat will be development of scattered showers
and thunderstorms vicinity of the Blue Ridge with tempo impacts
to terminals between 18Z/2PM and 22Z/6PM.

With high pressure practically overhead, winds will be light
and variable with speeds generally under 5 kts, but do lookout
for rogue wind gusts and directional variability within the
vicinity of thunderstorms.

Extreme temperatures are expected during the afternoon
creating high density altitude...conditions leading to
longer takeoff rolls, decrease climb rates
and weight restrictions.


EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
Shower and thunderstorm chances increase through next week.
However, primary flight category is expected to be VFR with
Tempo MVFR and some IFR due to thunderstorms and/or late night
mountain valley fog.

Temperatures are expected to return closer to normal by Monday,
with Sunday being the last day where extreme temperatures
are a concern.

&&

.CLIMATE...
All but Bluefield broke record highs Friday.

More records may be broken through holiday weekend. For
reference, the records are listed below along with the year the
record occurred.

07/04
Station   Hi Max T  Hi Min T
Roanoke     99/1999    74/2024
Lynchburg   98/1966    76/1902
Danville    99/1919    74/1999
Bluefield   92/1957    69/2024
Blacksburg  94/1966    78/1949

07/05
Station   Hi Max T  Hi Min T
Roanoke    100/1999    76/2012
Lynchburg   98/2024    75/1900
Danville   103/1919    76/1926
Bluefield   93/1948    71/1969
Blacksburg  94/1930    69/1932

&&

.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...Heat Advisory from 11 AM this morning to 8 PM EDT this evening
     for VAZ022>024-032-033-043.
     Extreme Heat Warning from 11 AM this morning to 8 PM EDT this
     evening for VAZ034-035-044>047-058-059.
NC...Heat Advisory from 11 AM this morning to 8 PM EDT this evening
     for NCZ003-019-020.
     Extreme Heat Warning from 11 AM this morning to 8 PM EDT this
     evening for NCZ004>006.
WV...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...CG
AVIATION...PM
CLIMATE...SH
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Forecast Discussion from: NOAA-NWS Script developed by: El Dorado Weather






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