Lynchburg, Virginia 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

928
FXUS61 KRNK 291054
AFDRNK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
654 AM EDT Sat Aug 29 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Less coverage of showers/storms today.

Aviation updated.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) A few showers/storms today mainly south of the VA/NC border.

2) Heat builds into next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1: Few showers/storms today mainly south of the
VA/NC border.

A few showers still linger across the Blue Ridge northwest of
Lynchburg this morning associated with some upper divergence and
low level convergence with a trough/front in place.

Overall, models show more sinking/subsidence kicking in behind
the upper trough today, with better support for storms shifting
further south into the Carolinas/Georgia. Cannot rule out some
differential heating with low level convergence showers/storms
today mainly across our NC counties, but trends favor most of
the area staying dry. Pops have been reduced to 20-30 percent at
most from the Blue Ridge of VA south of Roanoke/Blacksburg into
NC. Not anticipating any severe or flooding concerns.


KEY MESSAGE 2: Heat returns next week.

A expanding 5h ridge will shift east into our area early next
week suppressing convection. Temperatures soar to as much as 10
degrees above normal with 90s returning Monday and lasting
through at least Thursday for the foothills/Piedmont including
Roanoke, even some 90s possible in the mountain valleys. By
late next week trough sinks further south into the northern
Mid- Atlantic and could start to see convection ramp up again.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
A small window of sct/bkn MVFR cigs possible around ROA/LWB/BCB
this morning. This has limited fog development. Overall should
be VFR after 14z for all terminals. Storm chances are still
mainly going to be south of a TRI-DAN line today.

Tonight, fog and/or low clouds could form again especially at
LWB/BCB, but moderate confidence on this.

EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...

High pressure will build across the Appalachian Mountains on
Sunday to bring drier weather and mainly VFR conditions into
early next week. A warming trend should take place between
Monday and Wednesday. The only possibility that could disrupt
the VFR conditions would be any patchy morning fog in the
typical mountain valley terminals.

&&

.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...None.
NC...None.
WV...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...BMG/PW/WP
AVIATION...PW/WP