Lynchburg, Virginia 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

286
FXUS61 KRNK 050639
AFDRNK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
139 AM EST Thu Nov 5 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Aviation updated.

Adjusted PoPs through the morning based on radar trends and
removed thunder.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Showers will be more scattered nature into Friday, with best
chance east of the Blue Ridge.

2) Unseasonably warm temperatures continue through Friday,
returning to near normal this weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1: Showers will be more scattered nature into Friday, with best
chance east of the Blue Ridge.

A frontal boundary pushes slowly east today, reaching the
Piedmont tonight. Low pressure will form along the Florida
Panhandle this evening and lift northeast along the front late
tonight. Models show better coverage of showers tonight into
Friday morning east of the U.S. 29 corridor in VA into the NC
Piedmont. As the wave moves by Friday morning will see drying
trend take shape. Another shortwave and front may bring some
upslope showers Friday night-Sat morning in WV. Could even have
a few snowflakes in the higher ridges of Greenbrier County.


KEY MESSAGE 2: Unseasonably warm temperatures continue through
Friday, returning to near normal this weekend.

South winds ahead of the approaching front will maintain mild
conditions with above normal temperatures today lingering into
Friday. Once the front moves off the coast Friday, cold/dry
advection will set in for Friday night and continue through the
weekend. This will promote temperatures returning to near
normal into next week.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
Showers will impact most terminals this morning with sub-VFR
cigs/vsbys. Fog will also lower VSBY down to 1-3 miles.
Technically, dense fog looks less likely at KLWB due to clouds
cover, but either way conditions will be LIFR due to very low
stratus.

Flight conditions remain poor through Thursday morning, and may
see some improvement to MVFR to VFR by Thu afternoon.

Looking at more widely scattered showers Thursday so left out of
of the tafs for now. Looks like cigs and vsbys may drop again in
the mountains before the end of the taf period.

Confidence in the above forecast is moderate.

EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...

Sub-VFR flight restrictions will continue into Thursday night
as a cold front lingers across the area. This will keep rain
showers in the forecast through Friday along/east of the Blue
Ridge, with even a few thunderstorms possible at DAN on Friday.
Winds shift to the northwest behind the front as it pushes east,
with gusts up to 20 knots possible on Saturday for all
terminals. Drier weather returns for this weekend, with VFR
expected to continue well into next week with no large systems
impacting the area.

&&

.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...None.
NC...None.
WV...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...PM/WP
AVIATION...SH/WP