Lynchburg, Virginia 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

497
FXUS61 KRNK 261101
AFDRNK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
701 AM EDT Sun Apr 26 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Aviation forecast updated.

Some patches of dense fog around the area.

Low rainfall chances of 10-20% in the forecast Sunday as dry
air takes over in a post-frontal environment. Confidence
continues to increase in widespread rainfall on Tuesday and
Wednesday.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
KEY MESSAGE 1:

There will be a few opportunities for precipitation this week as we
transition to a more active weather pattern. Higher confidence in a
Tuesday/Wednesday event, and low confidence in precipitation later
in the week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1: There will be a few opportunities for
precipitation this week as we transition to a more active
weather pattern. Higher confidence in a Tuesday/Wednesday event,
and low confidence in precipitation later in the week.

We look to be on track to break out of the dry pattern the area has
experienced of late, at least for the upcoming week. After showers
and storms Saturday, there is a low chance of a smattering of
showers Sunday, which would be restricted to the Piedmont region.
There has been some overnight fog, with patches temporarily reducing
visibility to below 1SM. Heavier fog seems to be forming to our
south and west.

A warm front followed by a cold front will pass through the area on
Tuesday and then Wednesday, respectively. Each will bring widespread
rain coverage throughout the afternoons and into the evenings. Over
that 48 hour period, expected rainfall sits in the 0.5-1" range; by
no means a drought breaker, but surely a beneficial rain.

Following the front, an upper trough digs down into the Mid-
Atlantic, allowing a few weak shortwaves to move along the trough
and perhaps bring isolated showers to the area later in the week.
Confidence on location or geographical coverage of these showers is
low.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
The night`s patches of dense fog are already lifting from most
sites, with the exception of some valleys. LWB remains the most
entrenched of TAF sites, but southern portions of the New River
Valley and near Galax there tends to be pockets of dense fog
hanging on. Expect these to clear within a couple hours.

After the fog clears, clouds will begin to thin, and very likely
by mid-morning that all TAF sites will be VFR. In the post
frontal environment, winds will be largely NE or NNE, at 5-10kt,
though some light gusts up to 15-20kts are possible late morning
and early afternoon. With dry air and little forcing, the
chances for rain showers today have all but evaporated (pun not
intended initially.

Confidence in the above forecast is moderate.


EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...

VFR will continue for late Sunday night through the early part of
the week as high pressure remains in control. Patchy dense fog will
be possible again Sunday night into Monday morning. Some gusty SE
winds will affect mainly BLF Monday night into Tuesday as a warm
front passes through with gusts up to 20 knots possible. A cold
front will then approach from the west Tuesday afternoon, bringing
scattered showers/storms which will cause sub-VFR conditions for the
mountains. The front moves into the area on Wednesday, with
widespread rain chances, and likely sub-VFR flight conditions. Winds
increase late Wednesday, with gusts of 20+ knots possible as winds
shift to the NW behind the front. By Thursday, most of the rain
clears out, though a few scattered showers may linger and winds
remain gusty. VFR returns for the late week.

&&

.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...None.
NC...None.
WV...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...VFJ/WP
AVIATION...JCB/VFJ