Lynchburg, Virginia 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

987
FXUS61 KRNK 151119
AFDRNK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
619 AM EST Sun Nov 15 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Forecast and Aviation Updated.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Quiet weather period with warming trend next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...Quiet weather period with warming trend next
week.

Broken to overcast cloud cover looks to linger for another day
across mountain locations with northwest flow continuing
areawide. Areas east of the Blue Ridge look to remain mostly
clear once again with downsloping ongoing through today. All
snow shower activity has primarily ended for upslope mountain
locations, with only isolated showers being observed in a few
locations west of the area tonight. All activity is expected to
end by sunrise today. Little to no accumulation is expected
through this period.

Surface high pressure currently situated across Illinois and
eastern Iowa is expected to slide east into the region by Monday
afternoon and evening. This will finally allow for completely
clear skies for the entire region heading into the Monday
afternoon and evening timeframe. As this happens, the gusty
northwest winds that have been observed over the previous
several days will also start to diminish throughout the day
today and into Monday. With the aforementioned surface high
pressure settling over the region for through the end of the
work week, and likely into the weekend, the chance for
precipitation through the week is nearly zero percent areawide.
Along with dry conditions, 500mb heights will slowly increase
across the area each day starting Monday, which will lead to
progressively warmer days each day throughout the work week.
Highs Sunday and Monday will generally be near average or
slightly below average in the 40s/50s across the area, with
widespread 60s to near 70 overtaking the area by Tuesday across
the region. While daytime highs will warm up to these
temperatures, clear skies and calm winds will allow for
efficient radiational cooling each night with some lows in the
20s and gradually "warming" into the 30s.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...

MVFR to IFR restrictions will continue to linger at BLF and LWB
through the first half of the TAF period, with VFR conditions
slowly returning to both sites as high pressure works its way
into the region late tonight and into Monday morning. BCB may
also see brief periods of MVFR CIGs through this period as well;
however, these restrictions will likely return to VFR levels by
this morning after sunrise. VFR conditions are expected for all
terminals east of the Blue Ridge through the TAF period.

Winds will remain gusty across the mountains and foothills for
the next few hours prior to 18 UTC, with surface gusts around
20kts expected. Speeds will trend weaker through the morning
hours, with gusts diminishing into the 10-15 knot range by later this
afternoon. Across the Piedmont region, limited surface gusts
are expected and prevailing winds will generally remain less
than 10kts.


OUTLOOK...

After today, high pressure will settle over the region through
the remainder of the week. This will lead to clear skies and
calm winds across the entire region during this period. Overall,
expect ideal flying conditions through the week.

&&

.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...None.
NC...None.
WV...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...EB
AVIATION...EB