Lynchburg, Virginia 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

524
FXUS61 KRNK 261135
AFDRNK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
635 AM EST Wed Nov 26 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
Rain showers to continue this morning as a result of an
passing system. A strong cold front moves across the region
tonight, ushering in gusty winds and much colder air for
Thanksgiving Day. Cooler and dry conditions remain in place
through Saturday. Rain chances return again by Sunday as another
low pressure system approaches the region.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 200 AM EST Wednesday...

Key Messages:

1) Showers ending this morning, with skies clearing. Warmer,
especially for the Piedmont.

2) Winds become gusty, with a Wind Advisory for the Southern
Blue Ridge and the Greenbrier Valley beginning this evening.

3) Cold air settles in tonight, with lows below freezing for
most.

Today, cyclonic flow continues as a closed low moves through the
OH Valley. At the surface, dual cold fronts push through the
region today. The first had generated precipitation and was
moving east of the Blue Ridge this morning. Rain should end by
morning for the Piedmont, and by mid morning for the extreme
western mountains where upslope showers linger. Rainfall amounts
were highest in the Greenbrier Valley in WV and also the
southern Blue Ridge, with readings between a third of an inch to
an inch. In between, most spots only saw between a tenth and a
quarter inch of rain with this system.

While clouds gradually clear out for most, westerly winds will
increase to 10 to 15 mph with gusts to 25 mph today. The second
cold front will introduce wind gusts in the 30 to 45+ mph range.
A Wind Advisory has been issued for the Greenbrier Valley and
the southern Blue Ridge where winds may briefly exceed 46 mph.

Temperatures today will range from 50 to 60 degrees for the
mountains, and the mid 60s to low 70s for the Piedmont. Tonight,
westerly winds weaken as high pressure dominating central Canada
and the Plains builds east. Continued gusty winds will keep
temperatures warmer than otherwise, but still expect lows
between 25 to 35F areawide.

Confidence is moderate in the near term forecast.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
As of 150 AM EST Wednesday...

Key Messages:

1) Dry and quiet weather through the period.

2) Cold temperatures for Thanksgiving into the weekend.

3) Strong winds bring very cold wind chills Friday morning.

Behind the front that passes through Wednesday night, high
pressure begins to build in from the west, with cold air
plunging south from Canada into our area. An upper trough will
also remain across the Eastern CONUS for the late week, which
will keep temperatures well below normal. On top of the much
colder air for Thanksgiving, northwest winds will be very gusty
due to a strong pressure gradient that stays in place through
late Friday. A few stray upslope snow showers may be possible in
WV, due to the strong winds and the upper trough, but
confidence is very low. Winds on Thursday will be 10-20 mph,
gusting to near 30 mph. The upper trough swings through Thursday
night, increasing winds once again for the ridgetops, from the
NW at 15-20 mph and gusts of 35-40+ mph expected.

Friday will see quiet conditions, though winds slowly reduce
through the day as surface high pressure builds in and the
upper trough shifts east and out of the area. By Friday night,
wind gusts fall to under 20 mph. The high pressure remains
centered over the Mid- Atlantic and slowly shifts east through
Saturday, with southerly flow returning late in the day ahead of
the next system.

Temperatures will be cold for Thanksgiving Day, with highs only
in the 30s to around 40 along/west of the Blue Ridge. Piedmont
locations will be warmer, but still only in the 40s to around
50. Strong winds will make it feel even colder, with wind chills
in the 20s/30s throughout the day. The warmth from eating all
of the Thanksgiving food will be much needed on this day. Friday
will be even colder, with highs in the 20s to low 30s for the
mountains, with low 40s for the Piedmont, so enjoy any
leftovers. Saturday sees a small improvement, with 30s/40s area-
wide. Overnight lows will be in the teens/20s Friday morning, as
wind chills will fall into the single digits west of the Blue
Ridge. The highest elevations could see wind chills below zero.
Saturday morning is even colder, with area-wide teens to around
20 degrees. Wind chills will be less severe as winds reduce,
only in the teens.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 150 AM EST Wednesday...

Key Messages:

1) Rain chances return Sunday, brief snow showers in the
mountains.

2) Temperatures remain below normal into next week.

Quiet weather continues for Saturday night, as high pressure
remains in control but begins to shift offshore. A low
pressure system over the Great Plains moves into the Great Lakes
Region, again missing our area to the north, with the upper-
level trough also lifting back north and allowing the heavier
rain to fizzle out as it reaches us. Some light showers will
still be possible over our area, with the best chances remaining
west of the Blue Ridge. With cold air already in place, some
brief snow showers may occur Sunday morning in the mountains and
higher elevations. Rain chances continue through the day, with
snow possible in the WV mountains into Sunday night. A high
pressure system in the Great Plains briefly ridges into the area
for Monday, though rain will remain possible due to a stalled
front to our southeast. Models are beginning to hint at another
low system forming along the southern jet stream and moving
into the Carolinas on Tuesday, potentially bringing a chance of
winter weather to the area, depending on the low track and
amount of cold air present. Confidence remains low in this as it
is a week out, but it will be monitored as the setup could be
favorable for our area.

Temperatures remain below normal, with highs in the 40s/50s each
day, with some 30s in the highest elevations. Lows will be in
the 20s/30s.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 200 AM EST Wednesday...

Conditions ranged from IFR in BCB, BLF, and DAN, and were MVFR
at LYH and VFR at LWB so far this morning. Scattered rain
showers were mostly concentrated over the Piedmont at this time,
affecting LYH and DAN. Light upslope showers are possible for
BLF and LWB in the next few hours. Rain showers taper off or
exit the area in the next 2-3 hours.

Most terminals return to VFR by mid-morning Wednesday as drier
air filters in, though BLF and LWB may keep cigs at MVFR
through early afternoon. Skies clear some this afternoon, as
northwesterly winds behind the cold front increase. Winds of
10-15 knots will be at each terminal, with gusts of 20-30+ knots
expected.

.Extended Aviation Outlook...

Strong northwesterly winds continue tonight into Thursday,
lingering into Friday before finally relaxing for the weekend.
The strongest winds are expected this evening through through
Thursday morning. High pressure will build into the region late
today, keeping dry weather and VFR conditions in place through
Saturday night. By Sunday, the next system arrives, which could
bring sub-VFR conditions back to the area.

&&

.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...Wind Advisory from 7 PM this evening to 11 AM EST Thursday for
     VAZ015.
NC...Wind Advisory from 7 PM this evening to 11 AM EST Thursday for
     NCZ001-002-018.
WV...Wind Advisory from 7 PM this evening to 11 AM EST Thursday for
     WVZ508.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...SH
NEAR TERM...SH
SHORT TERM...JCB
LONG TERM...AS/JCB
AVIATION...SH