Lynchburg, Virginia 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

636
FXUS61 KRNK 301136
AFDRNK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
636 AM EST Tue Dec 30 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
Strong northwest winds will persist through late morning.
Another system may bring snow to the mountains of West Virginia
Wednesday and again on Wednesday night. High pressure builds in
Thursday night into Friday and mostly dry conditions will
continue into early next week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 115 AM EST Tuesday...

Key Messages:


1) Very gusty, potentially damaging winds will continue through
the morning.

2) Bitterly cold wind chills expected.

3) Upslope snow showers come to an end.

Gusty winds ongoing this morning with multiple observations
reporting 45 to 60 MPH wind gusts in the higher elevations.
Downed trees and additional power outages likely as strong gusty
winds are expected to continue through sunrise. Highest
pressure rises, combined with a very strong 850mb, are occurring
now. However, will begin to lose the strong jet and pressure
rises by late morning and early afternoon, therefore winds
should begin to gradually decrease by midday. Winds will not
completely subside through tonight, especially across the
mountains, where continued cold air advection and a persistent
low level jet in the 40kt range will result in 25 to 30 MPH
gusts to continue into tonight.

Temperatures in the teens and 20s this morning, with gusty winds
continuing, will produce wind chill values and the single digits
and below 0 for the higher elevations through late morning.
Highs will struggle to warm out of the 20s across the mountains,
with 30s common across the lower elevations.

Persistent upslope snow showers for the mountains through
sunrise, but should begin to taper off by midday with a loss of
a favorable moisture fetch from the northwest. However, upslope
stratus likely to persist across southeast West Virginia through
the afternoon.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
As of 115 AM EST Tuesday...

Key Messages:

1) Light snow expected overnight New Year`s Eve and into early New
Year`s Day.

2) Windy and gusty conditions develop behind the front into New
Year`s Day.

3) Above normal temperatures Friday.

A disturbance tracking across Lake Erie pushes an initial cold front
through the region on Wednesday. This first wave will trigger light
snow and flurries primarily across the mountains. However, a second,
more potent front will follow quickly, tapping into Great Lakes
moisture overnight New Year`s Eve and into early New Year`s Day.
This second system will focus its energy on the western slopes, with
the most significant snow accumulations occurring in western
Greenbrier County, where totals are expected to range from 24
inches. Across the rest of the southeast West Virginia and southwest
Virginia mountains, accumulations will be lighter, generally ranging
from a dusting to an inch. East of the Blue Ridge, the atmosphere
will remain mostly dry with little to no precipitation expected.

The transition will be a blustery one, as windy and gusty conditions
develop behind the front. High pressure will begin to build in by
Thursday afternoon, bringing a slow end to the snow showers and a
gradual decrease in the wind. Temperatures during this period will
stay quite cool with mid to upper 30s in the mountains and mid to
upper 40s in the foothills and Piedmont. A bright spot arrives as
the high settles in; dry air and abundant sunshine will combine with
a southwesterly breeze to push temperatures higher by the weekend.
Highs are expected to reach the 40s west of the Blue Ridge and climb
into the lower 50s to the east, providing a crisp but pleasant start
to the new year.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 125 AM EST Tuesday...

Key Messages:

1) A cold light rain possible Saturday.

2) Dry high pressure returns Sunday and Monday.

3) Warmer than normal temperatures linger into early next week.

A southern-track low-pressure system is set to be the primary
weather driver this weekend, keeping the most active conditions just
to our south.

As the surface low travels from Texas toward the Southeast on
Saturday, the highest chances for rain (around 30%) will remain
concentrated south of the Virginia/North Carolina border. For most
of our region, temperatures will stay sufficiently mild to keep any
falling precipitation as a cold rain. However, there is a small
window for more wintry conditions: if moisture manages to push north
of the Highway 460 corridor between Friday night and Saturday
morning, light snow could mix in.

The system is expected to track quickly to our east by Saturday
afternoon, bringing an end to any lingering showers. In its wake,
high pressure will build over the area on Sunday and persist through
the start of next week, ushering in dry skies and sunshine. Despite
the brief Saturday disturbance, the overall airmass remains
resilient, with temperatures projected to stay above normal through
the entire period.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 635 AM EST Tuesday...

Main concern this morning continues to be strong gusty northwest
winds. Gust still exceeding 30kts in the higher elevations,
with a few occasional gusts reaching 40kts or so. Winds will
gradually decrease through the day, with gust intensity and
frequency lowering.

MVFR to occasional IFR in the mountains due to intermittent snow
showers. This is mostly confined from TNB to BLF to LWB, which
will likely continue through sunrise, but decreasing by midday.
In addition to the persistent snow shower, lower cigs from
upslope stratus also resulting in MVFR, which will continue
across southeast West Virginia through the afternoon.

Conditions should return to mostly VFR by this evening and
overnight.

.EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...

Periods of sub-VFR likely again for the mountains as another
disturbance will pass through the region on Wednesday. This will
mainly impact mountain locations, bringing snow and stratus for
portions of southeast West Virginia. VFR expected east of the
mountains.

After Wednesday, high pressure looks to remain in control
through the weekend.

&&

.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...High Wind Warning until noon EST today for VAZ011-015>020-
     022>024.
     Cold Weather Advisory until 10 AM EST this morning for VAZ007-
     009-010-012-015.
     Wind Advisory until noon EST today for VAZ007-009-010-012>014-
     032>035.
NC...High Wind Warning until noon EST today for NCZ001-002-018.
     Cold Weather Advisory until 10 AM EST this morning for NCZ001-
     018.
     Wind Advisory until noon EST today for NCZ003-019.
WV...High Wind Warning until noon EST today for WVZ508.
     Cold Weather Advisory until 10 AM EST this morning for WVZ508.
     Wind Advisory until noon EST today for WVZ042>044-507.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...BMG
NEAR TERM...BMG
SHORT TERM...RCS
LONG TERM...RCS
AVIATION...BMG