Lynchburg, Virginia 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

647
FXUS61 KRNK 060526
AFDRNK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
1226 AM EST Fri Nov 6 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Aviation updated.

No significant changes to the forecast. Showers lingering into
Friday with rumble of thunder possible across the Piedmont.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Scattered showers into Friday morning with a few
thunderstorms in the Piedmont.

2) Clearing for the weekend; turning breezy and cooler.

3) Mainly dry next week with moderating temperatures before late
week tumble.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1: Scattered showers and a few storms into Friday in
the Piedmont.

Front across the Piedmont allowing for some convection early
this morning east of Lynchburg. Another wave arrives later this
morning and should provide a focus for more scattered
showers/few storms mainly along/east of Lynchburg to Danville
to Reidsville. Should see drier air finally kick the precip east
after midday.


KEY MESSAGE 2: Clearing for the weekend; turning breezy and
cooler.

Lingering upper level trough may produce cloudiness over WV and
the VA Highlands into the weekend with some sprinkles or
flurries, but for the most part expecting a drying trend over
the weekend and into next week. Winds will also increase as
cooler air advects into the region Friday night.

In general expecting near normal temperatures this weekend then
moderating early next week.


KEY MESSAGE 3: Mainly dry next week with moderating
temperatures before late week tumble.

Model ensembles are in general agreement for dry conditions next
week and moderating temperatures. There are some differences
with respect to a southern stream feature that may pass well
south of the area but it looks as though it will remain
suppressed to along the Gulf coast with cloud/rain impacts to
South Texas and across the Gulf towards Florida. Late in the
week a northern stream trough is progged to drop south from
Canada, passing over the Great Lakes. Track of this feature may
bring a shot of cold air to our region by the following
weekend...but no significant QPF is advertised attm.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
A cold front slows across the Piedmont this morning and could
see more showers impact DAN/LYH this morning. Otherwise some
MVFR to IFR cigs at times along with vsby fluctuating between
1sm to P6sm depending on if any clearing takes shape with the
wet ground. Have already seen LWB drop to 1/4sm only to get some
cloud cover to bring vsbys back above 6sm. This may occur again
early this morning, but for the most part expecting vsbys to
stay mainly above 2-3sm.

Drier air will arrive as we head toward late morning bringing
VFR conditions and uptick in west-northwest winds where skies
clear out.

Another disturbance may bring some MVFR cigs to BLF/LWB before
6z Saturday.




EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
Expect northwest winds yield stratocu over portions of
southeast West Virginia, with some pockets of MVFR ceilings and
some light rain showers into early Saturday.

On Saturday the northwest flow increases such surface gusts may
reach 20 to 25 kts over the mountains and 15 to 20 kts over the
Piedmont.

Into early next week, high pressure is expected to become
centered over the southern US. A series of reinforcing cold
fronts are expected to cross the area, but their associated
better energy and moisture is expected to remain north of the
area, thus precipitation-free for our region.

&&

.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...None.
NC...None.
WV...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...PM/WP
AVIATION...DS/SH/WP