Lynchburg, Virginia 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

167
FXUS61 KRNK 080642
AFDRNK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
Issued by National Weather Service Raleigh NC
242 AM EDT Mon Jun 8 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...

Forecast updated with recent guidance.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1: Afternoon/evening showers and storms for much of this week.

2: Warm temperatures continue, with well above normal readings for
the Piedmont and urban areas including Roanoke, especially next
Thursday and Friday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Key Message 1: Afternoon/evening showers and storms for much of this
week.

A frontal boundary looks to stall/meander near the western and
southern CWA today, which will be where any chances of showers or
storms are confined as the rest of the area should remain dry with a
sfc ridge to the northeast. By Tuesday a weak shortwave should
traverse the area along with the eastward progression of the
moisture axis, increasing the spread of shower/storm chances further
across the forecast area. On the heels of the first disturbance, a
secondary weak wave could push southeastward for Wednesday and
increase pops. The moist and conditionally unstable airmass then
looks to remain in place throughout the rest of the work week
allowing for mainly daily diurnally driven convection as much of the
upper dynamics stay well north of the area. This summer-like regime
doesnt look like it breaks until possibly the weekend if the upper
wave energy can translate a frontal passage but even that looks iffy
this far out.

Key Message 2: Warm temperatures continue, with well above normal
readings for the Piedmont and urban areas including Roanoke,
especially next Thursday and Friday.

Following the aforementioned disturbances Tue/Wed temps look to
increase in the stagnant airmass. For Thursday and Friday the
Piedmont and Roanoke areas could have daytime highs in the mid to
upper 90s and when combined with the high dewpts/humidity the
resultant heat indices could make it into the low 100s. For now it
looks to be a bit shy of heat advisory criteria but will still be
very dangerous for anyone outdoors.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...

Mainly VFR conditions today, with localized pockets of light fog
possible this morning. Winds will become northeasterly this morning
and easterly this afternoon with speeds of 6 to 12 kts after
daybreak and continuing through the day with occasional gusts of 15
kts near the Blue Ridge. Given the upslope windflow across the
mountains, may see localized showers develop along the ridgelines
after 18Z with afternoon heating, but coverage will be low enough
that will not include in the TAFs attm. Clouds will increase and
lower after 21Z as a wave of low pressure approaches from the west.
MVFR cloud bases are expected to develop overnight Monday night with
MVFR cigs anticipated along the spine of the Blue Ridge after
midnight.

EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK

The weather pattern will become more active starting early Tuesday
as high pressure shifts east, allowing deeper moisture to return to
the lower Mid-Atlantic region. This will bring increased coverage of
daytime heating-driven showers and thunderstorms which will develop
across the mountains during early afternoon and spread across the
Piedmont during late afternoon into early evening. Patchy overnight
fog is also possible, especially across areas that receive any rain.

&&

.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...None.
NC...None.
WV...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...AB
AVIATION...PM