Lynchburg, Virginia 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

501
FXUS61 KRNK 250006
AFDRNK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
806 PM EDT Wed Jun 24 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
No major changes to the forecast, except to undercut NBM highs
for next Wednesday.

Aviation updated.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) The next chance of showers and thunderstorms will take place
for Friday through the upcoming weekend. Afterward, hot and
humid conditions should arrive for the following week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...The next chance of showers and thunderstorms will
take place for Friday through the upcoming weekend. Afterward,
hot and humid conditions should arrive for the following week.

While high pressure remains in control into Thursday to keep
conditions dry, a cold front will organize across the central
Plains and approach the Appalachian Mountains later on Friday.
The chance of showers and thunderstorms should increase by
Friday afternoon and evening. However, the frontal boundary
should become parallel with the zonal flow aloft during the
weekend to mark a continuing stretch of unsettled weather with
daily chances of showers and thunderstorms. Due to ample
instability and moisture present, there is an opportunity for
strong storms that could produce gusty winds and heavy
downpours. Although drought conditions still remain in place
across the region, any storms training over the same locations
may present hydrological issues.

Some of the models indicate that the frontal boundary could exit
offshore by Monday. A large upper level ridge may build across
the Mississippi River Valley for the early part of next week.
This synoptic pattern would provide a somewhat drier trend with
any coverage of showers and storms being limited to terrain and
diurnal heating. More importantly, the biggest impact from this
pattern will be the increase in heat and humidity. Temperatures
may reach the upper 80s to the upper 90s towards the middle of
next week, and heat indices could possibly enter the lower 100s
across the Piedmont. Hot and humid weather could last through
the remainder of the week.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
VFR conditions prevail. Some fog at LWB late tonight possible
but increasing high clouds may limit this. In general, light and
variable winds through noon Thursday...then mainly out of the
southwest 4-8kts Thursday afternoon.

EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...

High pressure will keep conditions benign until Friday, then
cold front will approach from northwest bringing increasing
chance for showers and thunderstorms. This front is expected to
stall or slowly move through the area over the weekend promoting
multiple days of mainly diurnally driven showers and
thunderstorms with local IFR-MVFR conditions. Afternoon wind
gusts of 15 to 20kts are expected.

&&

.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...None.
NC...None.
WV...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...PW/WP
AVIATION...PM