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Lynchburg, Virginia 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
NWS Forecast for 3 Miles SW Madison Heights VA
National Weather Service Forecast for: 3 Miles SW Madison Heights VA
Issued by: National Weather Service Blacksburg, VA
Updated: 3:00 am EDT Jul 17, 2026
 
Today

Today: Patchy smoke. Mostly sunny and hot, with a high near 94. Northeast wind around 6 mph becoming calm  in the afternoon.
Patchy Smoke

Tonight

Tonight: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly between 1am and 2am.  Patchy smoke. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 73. Calm wind.  Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Slight Chance
T-storms

Saturday

Saturday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms between 2pm and 3pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 3pm.  Patchy smoke before 10am. Increasing clouds and hot, with a high near 94. Light southwest wind increasing to 5 to 10 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Patchy Smoke
then Showers
Likely
Saturday
Night
Saturday Night: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms between 8pm and 2am.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 72. West wind around 6 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Showers
Likely then
Slight Chance
T-storms
Sunday

Sunday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm.  Partly sunny and hot, with a high near 92. West wind 3 to 5 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Partly Sunny
then Chance
T-storms
Sunday
Night
Sunday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 11pm, then a chance of showers between 11pm and 2am.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 67. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Chance
T-storms then
Chance
Showers
Monday

Monday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 88. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Mostly Sunny
then Chance
T-storms
Monday
Night
Monday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 68. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Chance
T-storms then
Partly Cloudy
Tuesday

Tuesday: Partly sunny and hot, with a high near 92.
Hot

Hi 94 °F Lo 73 °F Hi 94 °F Lo 72 °F Hi 92 °F Lo 67 °F Hi 88 °F Lo 68 °F Hi 92 °F

Hazardous Weather Outlook
Air Quality Alert
 

Today
 
Patchy smoke. Mostly sunny and hot, with a high near 94. Northeast wind around 6 mph becoming calm in the afternoon.
Tonight
 
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly between 1am and 2am. Patchy smoke. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 73. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Saturday
 
A chance of showers and thunderstorms between 2pm and 3pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 3pm. Patchy smoke before 10am. Increasing clouds and hot, with a high near 94. Light southwest wind increasing to 5 to 10 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Saturday Night
 
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms between 8pm and 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 72. West wind around 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Sunday
 
A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Partly sunny and hot, with a high near 92. West wind 3 to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Sunday Night
 
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 11pm, then a chance of showers between 11pm and 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 67. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Monday
 
A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 88. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Monday Night
 
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 68. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Tuesday
 
Partly sunny and hot, with a high near 92.
Tuesday Night
 
A chance of showers and thunderstorms between 8pm and 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 72. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Wednesday
 
Mostly sunny and hot, with a high near 91.
Wednesday Night
 
Partly cloudy, with a low around 64.
Thursday
 
Mostly sunny, with a high near 87.

 

Forecast from NOAA-NWS for 3 Miles SW Madison Heights VA.

Weather Forecast Discussion
496
FXUS61 KRNK 170812
AFDRNK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
412 AM EDT Fri Jul 17 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
New aviation discussion.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Excessive warmth is forecasted again for today, with an
increase in moisture supporting isolated to widely scattered
thunderstorms this afternoon.

2) Passage of an upper level disturbance overtop an approaching
cold front will support scattered strong to severe storms on
Saturday.

3) Scattered daily afternoon and evening showers and
thunderstorms will persist from Sunday into the middle of next
week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...Excessive warmth is forecasted again for today,
with an increase in moisture supporting isolated to widely
scattered thunderstorms this afternoon.

Moisture continues to gradually increase, and will support the
development of isolated to widely scattered thunderstorms during
this afternoon. Given continued upper level ridging across the
lower Mid-Atlantic and the Carolinas, believe that storms will
remain disorganized, but given strong heating allowing CAPE
values to range from 1,500 to 2,000 J/kg this afternoon, and
precipitable water values increasing into the 1.4 to 1.6 inch
range, can`t rule out a few storms becoming capable of strong to
damaging wind gusts and localized heavy rain. The afore-
mentioned ridging will also support afternoon high temperatures
ranging from the mid 80s across portions of the mountains to
the mid 90s across the Piedmont, which is taking into account
smoke from wildfires in Canada helping to limit temperatures a
couple of degrees cooler. As such, heat indices will reach into
the 100 to 103 degree range today during mid-afternoon across
Southside Virginia into central North Carolina.


KEY MESSAGE 2...Passage of an upper level disturbance overtop
an approaching cold front will support scattered strong to
severe storms on Saturday.

An upper level disturbance is expected to pass across the
southern Great Lakes region on Saturday as a cold front
approaches the Mid-Atlantic. Latest guidance suggests that
storms will develop along the Blue Ridge with early afternoon
heating, and then gradually shift east across the Piedmont
during late afternoon into the evening. The disturbance will
provide the support needed for storms to become scattered in
coverage, and capable of producing damaging wind gusts. As such,
the Storm Prediction Center has highlighted much of the
Piedmont in a Slight Risk of Severe Thunderstorms, while a
Marginal Risk of Severe Thunderstorms exists across the
mountains. Most storms are forecasted to exit our area to the
east by around 8 PM, though a few may linger into late evening.
These storms will also be capable of producing heavy downpours,
but are expected to pass east fast enough to limit the potential
for flash flooding.


KEY MESSAGE 3...Scattered daily afternoon and evening showers
and thunderstorms will persist from Sunday into the middle of
next week.

The approaching cold front may stall near the upper Ohio River
Valley into northern Virginia on Sunday, which would focus the
greater chances of rainfall further to the south. As such, will
be keeping an eye out for an increased flooding threat with
possible training of storms along the boundary, though
confidence remains low as to where any flooding may occur.
Otherwise, the beginning of the work week looks to be
supportive of general chances for daytime showers/storms, then
more organized or widespread development could occur again
Wednesday with another disturbance and associated cold front
potentially traversing the area.

&&

.AVIATION /07Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Surface observations indicate river valley fog has developed
across portions of southeast West Virginia into southwest
Virginia this morning in otherwise VFR conditions. Expect this
fog to burn off between 12Z and 14Z this morning given strong
heating. Increased moisture will support isolated to widely
scattered thunderstorms this afternoon and evening across the
entire area, though do not have enough confidence in coverage to
add into the TAFs. Winds are forecasted to remain less than
10kts areawide.

OUTLOOK SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...

Shower and storms chances will become scattered in coverage
across the lower Mid-Atlantic Saturday into early next week,
with potential sub-MVFR or conditions. Mountain valley fog/low
stratus will also be possible each morning. A westerly wind with
speeds between 6 and 12 kts will develop on Saturday and
Sunday, with occasional gusts as high as 25 kts.

&&

.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...Air Quality Alert from 6 AM this morning to 9 PM EDT this
     evening for VAZ019-020-022>024-032>035-043>047-058-059.
NC...Air Quality Alert from 10 AM this morning to 8 PM EDT this
     evening for NCZ004>006.
WV...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...NF
AVIATION...NF
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Forecast Discussion from: NOAA-NWS Script developed by: El Dorado Weather






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